After a 34-10 loss to LSU on Saturday night Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel has much to think about, with questions abounding regarding if – and really when – he will announce an intention to enter the 2014 NFL Draft. But while this will provide food for thought for the near future, one thing that the quarterback can cross off his wish list is winning the Heisman Trophy, as his performance on Saturday afternoon was absolutely awful.
Throughout the game Manziel was constantly hassled by LSU defenders, who made it their mission to hit the quarterback as many times as possible. This strategy worked to great success, as after cutting off the run game of Texas A&M they were able to get to the quarterback and subsequently block all of his passing lanes. For the night he completed 16 of 41 passes for 224 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions, which was by far his worst game of the 2013 season.
On the whole of the season, Manziel has thrown for 3537 passing yards, 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, while running for an additional 665 yards and 8 touchdowns on the ground. This has contributed for 62.5 percent of the team’s offensive touchdowns, 69.1 percent of Texas A&M’s total offense and has made the quarterback the undoubted most valuable player in college football.
Unfortunately, the Heisman Trophy is not decided solely on personal statistics, but also relies heavily on the success of a player’s team. For Manziel this will be a key stumbling block, as the loss on Saturday dropped Texas A&M to 8-3 in 2013 and effectively ended any chances of appearing in a BCS Bowl.
When this is compared to the three main competitors for the Heisman Trophy– Jameis Winston, AJ McCarron and Bryce Petty – there simply is no comparison. Winston, Petty, and McCarron are all but locks to play in BCS Bowls this season – two of the three will most likely play in the National Championship game – and therefore have a huge part of their resume filled that Manziel will be missing.
After considering the fact that only five out of the last 43 winners of the Heisman Trophy have lost three games or more, it becomes clear that their is little chance Manziel wins the award in 2013. When it is also considered that his statistical output does not significantly stand out from that of his competitors for the award, it is shown that these slim chances drop down to no chance, and that the quarterback is better off wishing he gets drafted high in the 2014 NFL Draft.