The odds-makers are giving the Miami Dolphins a lot of respect this week. The Dolphins (3-8) are actually favored by 3 points over the first place Raiders (7-4). Yes, the game is being played in Miami, but how is that possible? Looking inside the numbers, it’s not so crazy. Did you know that the Raiders, despite having a winning record, have given up more points than they’ve scored? The Dolphins, meanwhile, have scored more points than they’ve given up in 2011. Since 2001, the Dolphins are 5-1 against the Raiders.
The Raiders are led by recently acquired QB Carson Palmer and RB Michael Bush. They have won 3 straight games and will look to hold onto their AFC West lead with a 4th straight win. The Raiders offense is averaging over 373 total yards per game, a potent offensive group. The Dolphins defense will need to be on top of their game, as they’ve allowed an average of 343 yards per game.
The Dolphins offense will look to move the ball against a Raiders defense that allows over 374 yards per game. The Raiders are more suspect against the pass than against the run. The Raiders rank #9 against the run, so Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas are going to have to play well for the Dolphins to move the ball on the ground. Ultimately, the Dolphins may have to rely on Matt Moore to move the chains through the air.
Prediction: We think the Dolphins trend of beating the Raiders will continue. Matt Moore will continue his solid play and the Dolphins defense will do enough to hold the Raiders under 21 points. Dolphins 27-20