San Diego will be 9-7 in 2012 if strength of schedule winning percentage repeats itself

The San Diego Chargers2012 schedule was released yesterday.  San Diego will play 11 games against teams that made the playoffs in 2011 or finished the season at least 8-8.  This includes home games against the Tennessee Titans, Atlanta Falcons, Denver Broncos, Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals and the Oakland Raiders.  San Diego will face Oakland, the New Orleans Saints, Denver, the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets on the road.  San Diego has five games against teams that finished the 2011 NFL season with a losing record which includes two games against the Kansas City Chiefs, road games against the Cleveland Browns and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and a home game against the Carolina Panthers.

The Chargers dominated teams in 2011 that had losing records at the time San Diego played them because they were 5-0 against such teams.  San Diego was 1-4 against teams with winning records at the time they played them and they were 2-4 against teams that had exactly a .500 winning percentage at the time the Chargers played them.

The draft and free agency can change teams, but San Diego had six games in 2011 against teams that had losing records in 2010. The Chargers were 4-2 against these teams last season. San Diego has five games against such teams in 2012.  The Chargers were 2-5 in 2011 against teams that had winning records in 2010.  The Lighting Bolts have six of these games in 2012.  San Diego was 2-1 in 2011 against teams that finished the 2010 season at .500.  The Chargers have five of these games in 2012.  If this trend from 2011 carries on into 2012, San Diego will finish the season at 9-7.


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