NFL Odds: 5 Week 1 NFL Lines That Are Sure-Things This Weekend

By Jeff Shull

So one thing you may not know about me from reading my stuff here at Rant Sports is that I love to watch the betting lines that sports books set for the NFL games and do my best to pick locks for each weekend.

I do not even bet on the games; I just like seeing if I can guess them right. I was checking the lines out yesterday and found five that I loved. Remember, it is Week 1 in the NFL, meaning you should probably take any predictions with a grain of salt. These are all gut feelings, and pretty much have nothing to do with last year.

Just look at ESPN’s predictions of Week 1, and the fact that every single person picked the New York Giants last night. With that in mind, here we go.


I like to pretend like I know what I’m doing, but really I just do my best to sound like it. Take that as you will.


Indanapolis Colts at Chicago Bears (-9.5)

The Bears should cover the spread here. I know people think the Colts are going to be a bit improved from a season ago, but it’s not hard to improve on 2-14. Andrew Luck looked good in the preseason, but against this Bears defense it will be tough going. Julius Peppers will make a play that sets up a touchdown, and Luck will make a few mistakes himself. This could get ugly early, especially given the Bears are also very much improved on offense.


Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns (+9)

This line opened at six, according to, and the public obviously jumped all over the Eagles. I still like the Eagles in blowout fashion. The Browns are terrible and will remain terrible this year. The Eagles are a vastly superior team and, unless Vick is hurt, should run away with this early.


New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans (+6)

This is a tough line to pick because it’s less than a touchdown and the Patriots have such an explosive offense, but I just get the feeling a rejuvenated offensive line, a return to glory Chris Johnson and Jake Locker coming into his own give the Titans a fighting chance in this game. The Patriots defense is not good, and Johnson running could keep the ball out of the Patriots’ hands and the game close.


Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs (+3)

The public is on the Falcons, which makes me feel better about being on the Chiefs. The Chiefs are a different team at home and had a down year last year, but Romeo Crennel has this defense heading in the right direction and I love the additions the Chiefs made in the off-season. They added right tackle Eric Winston and tight end Kevin Boss, which will improve the run blocking, and they added Peyton Hillis and get Jamaal Charles back from injury. The run game will go back to being one of the best in the business this season, and I like the potential Jon Baldwin brings as a down field weapon. There is a lot to like about the Chiefs this weekend and even this season.


Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3)

I am all over the Bills on this one and think it’s the easiest pick of the weekend. For some unknown reason, the line opened at -6 for the Jets, despite the Jets looking like a dumpster fire in the preseason. The Bills added Mario Williams and Mark Anderson to their pass rush, which should drastically improve their defense. Getting everyone healthy on the Bills was key, and they should build off their hot start to the 2011 season. This is a no brain-er.


Jeff is an NFL Featured Columnist for He contributes mainly to the New York Giants and NFL Rumors pages. He also will occasionally touch on the NBA and humorous videos involving all sports. This is the first of many articles he will be posting on NFL odds this season.

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