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NFL Picks Week 5

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St. Louis Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals

St. Louis Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals

NFL Week Five started off with a bang. The undefeated Arizona Cardinals lost their first contest of the year on the road against the upstart St. Louis Rams 17-3. Coming into the weekend, the biggest story line is he battle of Hall of Fame quarterbacks between Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. Other than that, it appears this weekend is full of mismatches.

Here are some interesting facts about this week. Seven of the 13 contests are interleague games. Of the six remaining non-interleague contests, none are within divisions. Off this week are the Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Oakland Raiders and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

To keep an ethnic tradition alive, I've decided to start my own prediction business. We all remember Jimmy the Greek, but just call me Chicago the Jew. I will give you my five favorite picks of the week both against the spread and a total score. While I don't promise to have a crystal ball or a prediction machine, I will break down match-ups and give you my two cents on these games.

Here are my five contests of the week. Thanks to the fine folks at the MGM Mirage for this week's spreads and point totals (as of Saturday morning).

Philadelphia Eagles @ Pittsburgh Steelers (Steelers -3.1/2 43 total)

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins (Falcons -3 51 total)

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots (Patriots -6.5 51.5 total)

Chicago Bears @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Bears -5 40.5 total)

Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts (Packers -7 47.5 total)

I'd love to hear what you think. Follow me on Twitter @chicagobearjew and Hastag #RML and let's chat.

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Philadelphia Eagles @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Philadelphia Eagles @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The battle of Pennsylvania features two quarterbacks with a checkered past. Ben Roethlisberger of the Steelers appears to have turned his life around after several questionable incidents with women. Michael Vick served his time for his dog fighting business and is appears to be on a better path (sorry I had to mention this but as a Bears fan all the criticism Jay Cutler receives is quite unfair).

There's a football game to be played. The Eagles had an impressive win last Sunday evening over the New York Giants. The Steelers are at 1-2 and coming off their bye week. It couldn't have come at a better time for the Steel City warriors were battling several injuries. But the Steelers are healthy and ready to get back on track.

But my friends, it will not happen this week. I think the Eagles are for real, and I'm taking the Eagles and the points. But I'm going with the under. I see this score as 24-17.

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Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins

The Falcons are many people's choice as the best team in football, and the Redskins are not. Matt Ryan is emerging as a real MVP candidate, but let's not discount Robert Griffin III and his talent. That being said, I think the Falcons are far and away the superior team. And three points on the road sounds like a steal. The Falcons dominate this contest 31-13 and cover. But I'm taking the under. I don't see the Redskins putting up much offense.

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Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots

The hype is the Brady and Manning thing. After that, I don't see this being much of a contest. After looking slightly human the first few weeks of the season, the Patriots have decided to start playing football. I think they're chomping at the bit to take this one out on the Broncos. I see this game being a route at 35-20 in favor of the Patriots. But there will be points scored. So I'm taking the over.

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Chicago Bears @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Chicago Bears @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Matthew Emmons-US PRESSWIRE

The Bears looked really good on Monday night. Despite a bad game against the Packers, the Bears have been solid throughout the season. The Jaguars have not. The Bears will win and win big. Bears 34 Jags 17. The Bears will score points I'm taking the over.

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Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts

Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts
Brian Spurlock-US PRESSWIRE

Here is my upset special kids. I think the Packers aren't as good as everyone is convinced they are, and the Colts are a tough team at home. This will not be a high scoring affair, but Andrew Luck will continue to show his growth as a signal caller and get the better of Aaron Rodgers. I see this one as Colts 23 Packers 17 and I'm sticking with the under. I am sure that you think this is a biased pick, but I said before the season that the Packers aren't the team that everyone thinks they are...and so far I am being proven right.