2013 NFL Mock Draft Through October
What we have seen since the last update is a big swing in draft position by nearly all 32 NFL franchises, and some swings in college prospects since the previous week. The changes in draft order is explainable mainly because it is so early in the season that one win can make a huge change in where you are picking. What this means for a mock draft is one week to the next teams can bounce a half dozen picks one way or another just based on a single game.
On the prospect side of it, things are a little different. The players I rank whether it’s a positional ranking or for a mock draft is based on what I have seen. It’s never based on the rankings of someone else. So, at times there will be players on there that you might not see on other mock drafts, and you might see players omitted that others list. I suppose it would be easier to just take from others, but that’s not genuine and that’s not what has kept me doing this for over a decade.
In this latest incarnation of the mock draft there have only been a turnover of 6 players total, 3 new players in and 3 out, but a lot of shuffling among the picks. This means in some instances a team gains an opportunity to draft a much better play, and in others, they slide down, and have to go in an entirely different direction all together. The top of the round stays pretty constant in terms of prospects, as it's less about the teams at the top and more about the players.
So, let's take a look at this latest 2013 NFL mock draft.
1-Kansas City Chiefs-Geno Smith, QB University of West Virginia
New week, same story. The Kansas City Chiefs are continuing to unwind, and looking ahead to 2013, adding talent at quarterback is an absolute must.
2-Cleveland Browns-Tyler Wilson, QB Arkansas
Changes are coming in Cleveland, and if the new ownership decides to clean house, their young starting quarterback could very well be part of the clean out.
3-Oakland Raiders-Star Lotulelei, DT Utah
The Oakland Raiders move up in this latest mock, but the position of need doesn't change. They still need someone to plug the middle of the defense and Lotulelei is the guy to do it.
4-New Orleans Saints-Jarvis Jones, DE/LB Georgia
The New Orleans Saints struggle on defense and a huge part of that is their ends and outside linebackers who can't seal the edge and rush the passer. Jones would fill both of those needs in one pick.
5-Jacksonville Jaguars-Barkevious Mingo, DE/LB LSU
I could have swapped Mingo out with his teammate Sam Montgomery, but regardless of the player the pick for the Jacksonville Jaguars has to be someone to rush off the edge.
6-Carolina Panthers-Johnathan Hankins, DT Ohio State
The more I watch of Hankins the more I like him, and I think the Carolina Panthers would be lucky to have him at this point. The Panthers have other positions of need, but Hankins looks to be a player who could have an immediate impact.
7-Tennessee Titans-Sam Montgomery, DE/LB LSU
The Tennessee Titans have struggled to generate a pass rush consistently, and Montgomery is easily one of the top rushers in the draft. Montgomery seems to be looking a little better every week, and could keep climbing going into the offseason.
8-Pittsburgh Steelers-Taylor Lewan, OT Michigan
The Pittsburgh Steelers slip this week, and it lands them the best left tackle prospect in the draft. Their offensive line is hobbled and humbled every week, so Lewan would be a huge upgrade.
9-Indianapolis Colts-Bjoern Werner, DE/LB FSU
For me personally, this is a little high for Werner, but with the rush on these hybrid rush end/linebacker types, a team like the Indianapolis Colts might have to reach. Werner is a very nice player who's stepped up after key losses on that FSU defense.
10-Tampa Bay Buccaneers-DeMarcus Milliner, CB Alabama
Every time I get to watch Milliner player I like him as a prospect a little more. He was probably the third best cornerback in the preseason but he's shown a real knack for man coverage and a physical nature that NFL teams like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers love.
11-Dallas Cowboys-Kawann Short, DT Purdue
The Dallas Cowboys defensive line is getting pushed around a little this year, so I put Short in here for them as a plug and play NT, allowing them to rotate other players between the inside and the outside of the defensive line.
12-Detroit Lions-Marcus Lattimore, RB South Carolina
With the news from the Detroit Lions that Jhavid Best may not be able to return to football, the franchise must move forward. Lattimore is so talented, and you can see him a little more healthy every week.
13-Cincinnati Bengals-Robert Woods, WR USC
I am still on board with the notion that the Cincinnati Bengals would be hard to stop if they had a one-two punch at wide receiver that included Woods. He's so good out of the catch and so dangerous with the football in his hands.
14-Buffalo Bills-Matt Barkley, QB USC
The Ryan Fitzpatrick experiment has to end soon. The Buffalo Bills are a talented football team that lacks a leader, so they are counting on Barkley being that guy.
15-Miami Dolphins-Justin Hammer, WR Tennessee
Obviously this pick doesn't happen, if the Miami Dolphins are able to trade for Dwayne Bowe, but just by the fact they are entertaining the offer shows that a wide receiver is a high priority. Hunt is a big, talented target who can run.
16-Philadelphia Eagles-Johnthan Banks, CB Mississippi St.
Banks is a hot name in the NFL because teams love his ball skills and confidence. The Philadelphia Eagles are in need of a big corner who can stuff the run, and Banks could be that guy.
17-St. Louis Rams(from Washington)-Luke Joeckel, OT Texas A&M
The St. Louis Rams are putting together a really nice team with a really bad offensive line. Joeckel is a big physical kid who is built to protect quarterback Sam Bradford's blind side.
18-Green Bay Packers-Alex Okafor, DE/LB Texas
It's hard to imagine how a team so explosive like the Green Bay Packers wouldn't have a better defense. But rushing the quarterback has been a problem, and adding a rusher like Okafor to pair with Clay Matthews would help fix a lot of things.
19-St. Louis Rams-Keenan Allen, WR Cal
Allen is a dynamic playmaker who just needs the ball in his hands, and with the talent the Rams have, he would get plenty of chances to make big plays.
20-Seattle Seahawks-Terrance Williams, WR Baylor
Williams debuts in the first round this week because he's really showing a lot of polish to his game, and a great all around skill set. The Seattle Seahawks need a guy like Williams who can do a little of everything.
21-San Diego Chargers-Jake Matthews, OT Texas A&M
Of all the things wrong with the San Diego Chargers, the play of their offensive tackles has to be near the top. They need a consistent starter who can come in and contribute right away.
22-Denver Broncos-David Amerson, CB North Carolina State
Finding a suitable replacement for cornerback Champ Bailey has to be a top priority for the Denver Broncos. Amerson has slipped a little because of up and down play this year, but he's still very good and can offer depth at corner and safety.
23-New York Jets-Tyler Bray, QB Tennessee
If New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan loses his job at the end of the season, I am willing to bet whoever replaces him is going to want to remove themselves form the quarterback drama that has plagued this franchise. This might be a little early for Bray, but he's talented and confident and the Jets would have a need.
24-New England Patriots-John Jenkins, DT Georgia
Jenkins is another new entry to the first round, and he has the look of a player the New England Patriots would love. He's a fireplug with a great center of gravity and is super strong.
25-New York Giants-Chance Warmack, OG Alabama
Regardless of any other players, I still consider Warmack the best interior lineman in the league. The New York Giants love to stockpile linemen, so taking him here makes perfect sense.
26-Minnesota Vikings-Sylvester Williams, DT North Carolina
A third new first rounder, Williams has really impressed me as I've gotten to study him closely the past 10 days. Fights through double teams, and never takes a play off. The Minnesota Vikings could really use a worker like Williams along that interior defensive line.
27-San Fransisco 49ers-Eric Reid, S LSU
There is a type of player that a team like the San Fransisco 49ers wants for it's defense. They have to be big and strong, run well, and make big plays. Reid is that player to a tee. His stat sheet doesn't always reflect it, but his instincts, closing speed and finishing are elite.
28-Arizona Cardinals-Andre Ellington, RB Clemson
No matter how the Arizona Cardinals finish the season, they must consider an upgrade at running back. Picking late in the round, a small reach for a player like Ellington would make sense. Ellington is an excellent all-around back, with a very deep set of skills.
29-Chicago Bears-Manti Te'o, LB Notre Dame
For the Chicago Bears it is team tradition to have a dominant middle linebacker going back decades. Te'o grades out as high for me as any inside linebacker who's come into the league since Patrick Willis. He'd be a perfect transition for Brian Urlacher.
30-Baltimore Ravens-Barrett Jones, C/G Alabama
I won't be shocked it the Baltimore Ravens don't try and go get Te'o to try and replace Ray Lewis, but if they stay put adding Jones makes sense. He can play all 5 offensive line positions, and do so at a very high level. This team wants to run the football and Jones is a tremendous run blocker.
31-Houston Texans-Cordarelle Patterson, WR Tennessee
As good as the Houston Texans offense is, it can only be made better by adding another big target for quarterback Matt Schaub. Not to mention it would pull some of the coverage off Andre Johnson and help drive his numbers up as well.
32-Atlanta Falcons-Tyler Eifert, TE Notre Dame
I seriously considered giving the Atlanta Falcons a defensive end here, but Eifert is just too good to pass on. He's got great size, nice speed and the strongest hands in the draft.