San Diego is 8-2 in their last 10 games against Kansas City which includes a victory in week four.
The Chargers have won seven of their last eight home games against Kansas City as well.
As a team, Kansas City ranks 23rd in receptions, 25th in yards per game and 26th in yards per reception.
Therefore the key to victory for San Diego will be to slow down Jamaal Charles. Charles is averaging five yards per rushing attempt and is sixth in the NFL with 85 rushing yards per game.
In seven career games against San Diego, Charles averages about 52 yards per game, but this is due to his limited rushing attempts.
Charles has 63 attempts, 361 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns against the Lightning Bolts.
San Diego’s offensive line needs to do a better job of protecting Philip Rivers which will be another key to victory for San Diego. There are only seven teams with more sacks allowed than San Diego’s offensive line.
Rivers ranks 19th in the NFL in quarterback rating, 19th in passing yards per game and 22nd in yards per attempt. In his career against Kansas City, Rivers has a 10-4 record with 19 touchdowns and 15 interceptions.
San Diego averages 22 points per game which ranks 18th in the league while KC is at 17 points per game which ranks 28th out of 32 teams.
San Diego allows 5.4 yards per play which ranks 16th in the NFL while Kansas City allows 6.1 yards per play which ranks 27th in the league.
If the Chargers lose, I do not see them recovering from it. I expect San Diego to win by a final score of 20-7.