The Indianapolis Colts (5-3) will try and avenge their worst loss in arguably franchise history Thursday night when they take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7) in a rematch of the 22-17 Week 3 upset win for the Jags in Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts, did everything right in the first half of that contest, but failed to close it out and allowed one of the worst teams in the NFL hang around and beat them.
My motto in sports is if you allow someone lesser than you to hang around all game, they will beat you. In most scenarios, they know they can’t win and have no shot. When you allow them to hang around and give them hope, that will and heart will over power talent any day of the week. Why not cut that out early?
Thursday night the Colts will need to do the same thing and live by that motto. They will have a chance to put this game away before halftime. The Jaguars will be without their star Maurice Jones-Drew and leaning on quarterback Blaine Gabbert and Rashad Jennings on offense. That’s the same Gabbert who only completed 10 passes against the Colts in Week 3. He is also banged up so he won’t be very mobile either.
The Colts may be without their two starting corners, but I don’t think that will be a huge issues. They get back Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis back together for a second straight week. Freeney didn’t play against the Jags earlier this year. The Jags rank last in passing this year with only averaging 170 yards per game. Their 254.4 total yards per game and 14.6 points per game also ranks last.
This could be the game where the Colts finally get a turnover something they haven’t done in four straight games.
On the other side of the ball, the Colts need to stop shooting themselves in the foot on the road and just capitalize. They will have opportunities to score early and often. If they can capitalize and not let the foot off the accelerator this game will be over quicker than it began.
The Jaguars are getting outscored on an average 31-8 in their four home losses this season. They haven’t score more than 14 points in any of those games. In fact, they’ve only eclipsed the 20 point mark three times this year.
The Jaguars are averaging a two possession differential in the final score with what they’re scoring and giving up. If the Colts can get to 20 points which they should, they will win.
Indianapolis 27 Jacksonville 13