In week 10 the Miami Dolphins (4-4) host the Tennessee Titans (3-5). Both teams lost in week 9 (actually Tennessee has dropped 2 straight games). Miami is currently the #8 seed in the AFC while the Titans are #13.
Despite winning three of their past four games there are some concerning trends forming for the 2012 Dolphins. Earlier this week I wrote an article on how much their running game has regressed (for that article click HERE) and as well lately we see a secondary that has been getting torched.
Only the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Redskins yield more passing yards per game than Miami. Titans QB Jake Locker has been cleared to resume practice and he will split time with Matt Hasselbeck this week to see who will start on Sunday. Despite Miami’s struggles in the secondary I cannot see either QB presenting much of a threat in this game.
The Titans want to feature Chris Johnson, and he is on fire. Johnson has averaged a horrid 15 yards per game in weeks 1,2,3, but in his last 6 games he is getting over 100+ yards per game. Johnson has gone north of 90 rushing yards in 5 of his past 6 games, and has 3 rushing TDs in his past 3 games.
Johnson did lose 2 fumbles last week aginst the Chicago Bears, and his recent success has come running behind his o-line. Johnson is not getting to the outside. Runs up the middle versus the Dolphins are just not available. Miami’s rush-D as a whole is fantastic. The Phins have not yielded 100 yards to an opposing RB in 22 games (Ben Tate had 103 in week 2 last season).
Strength versus strength with Johnson versus Dolphins D, but we see a major advantage for Miami with their passing game against a terrible Titans pass-D. Ryan Tannehill averaged just 210 passing yards per game for weeks 1,2,3, but since then he is getting 280 passing yards per game. Opposing QBs are completing a whopping 72% of their passes versus Tennessee. The Titans have already allowed 20 passing TDs (tied with the Redskins for worst in NFL).
Impressive to think that Tannehill’s last INT was on Sep 30.
The Bears tap-danced on the Titans last week to the tune of 51-20. In fact of Tennessee’s 6 losses 5 of them were blowouts. I anticipate a more well-rounded game from Miami than we have seen recently, and I anticipate a Dolphins victory in this game.
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