Picking the Spread- Week 10
New York Giants @ Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5)
After a tough loss at home, the New York Giants will be looking for redemption this week. The Giants are coming off of a loss and of their other two prior losses, they have come out in the following game and not only won, but scored 41 points both times. I expect the same outcome this week against a Cincinnati Bengal defense that is mediocre at best, ranked 19th in passing defense. Eli Manning has been in a rut but with his ability to find different receivers and make big plays, he will bounce back and have a good game this week. Not to mention, we are heading into their favorite part of the season. Giants win by a touchdown at least.
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (-11.5)
In the last five seasons, division rivals, the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills have played at least once a year in Foxboro. The Bills have only lost by more than 11 one time and that was last season in Week 17, when the Bills were up 21-0 before falling in the end. The Bills are hungry for a win and with the offensive line back to full force, and Mario Williams’ wrist feeling better. It should be a better game than their last match in Buffalo. The Patriots haven’t played since October, in London and may come out slow to start, allowing the Bills to get some points early if they listen to the criticism this week and feature C.J. Spiller, who also has had success against the Patriots. The Patriots will win but I think it will be by more than 10.
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)
It is time to come to terms with the fact that the Philadelphia Eagles are just a bad team. The talent on paper has labeled them as a potential dynasty, the “dream team”, etc. The offensive line of the Eagles is awful and allowed Michael Vick to get sacked seven times last week. Even with head coach, Andy Reid, being in the hot seat, the Eagles are going to struggle against the Dallas Cowboys, who can be inconsistent, but are an overall better team. Sitting at 3-5, the Cowboys are desperate for a win if they want to stand up against the Giants down the stretch. Tony Romo has the best winning percentage in the history of the NFL in the month of November at 19-2. The Eagles could easily be 0-8 this season if you look closely at their three wins they managed. Cowboys will win big
Houston Texans @ Chicago Bears (-1.5)
After last week’s win over the Buffalo Bills, my value of the Houston Texans went down a bit. They came out sloppy with a lot of penalties in the first half and also had a blocked punt. The Texans have the least amount of turnovers with six, but now will face the Chicago Bears who have forced 28 turnovers, holding first in the league in takeaways. The Bears stomped on the Tennessee Titans and, playing at home, with forecasted high winds already, gives the Bears an advantage. Star cornerback, Charles Tillman, also announced that he will be at the game, despite speculation that his wife may give birth to their third child over the weekend. He has announced that the baby will be born on Monday and he will be attending the game. The spread is calling for an even match-up but this Prime Time game is going to be all Bears. Bears win by more than 2.
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