The Titans are getting 4.4 yards per carry from Chris Johnson in their six losses, but he gives them a massive 6.1 yards per carry in their three wins. Johnson has lost three fumbles on the season and the Titans lost every time CJ2K fumbled.
The Dolphins rush-D is yielding just 3.6 yards per carry which is #3 in the NFL. Johnson has 31 career 100+ yard rushing games, three this season, but Miami has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in a whopping 22 straight games.
Johnson’s production when running to the outside has been very poor. He is doing his damage running behind the offensive-line, but lately Miami is eating those king of RBs.
Johnson has only played the Dolphins twice, but he does average 110 rush yards per game against them.
Miami’s run game has been on a steady decline for a little over a month (article on struggling run game is HERE). RT Jonathan Martin grades as the worst offensive lineman on the team for run blocking, while C Mike Pouncey ranks the best (by far, too).
Jake Locker looks like he is ready to go. If that is the case, then he will be making his 5th career start. In his career he has 8 TDs vs just 2 INTs.
Cameron Wake has a sack in 5-straight games.
I am looking for a good game from Anthony Fasano as the Titans have struggled covering pass plays over the middle. I think we will see Davone Bess (and perhaps even Jabar Gaffney) use slant routes to get to the middle of the field to try to exploit this Titans weakness. In his career with Miami, the ‘Phins are 14-5 when Fasano catches a TD pass (3-0 this season).
Randy Starks spent his first four seasons as a Titan.
The Dolphins defense (in particular the secondary) have been burned more and more lately on 3rd down. Miami has had 3 games in a row where their 3rd down D was worse than the previous game. Kendall Wright is the Titans top threat on 3rd down.
The Titans secondary is the worst in the NFL for covering players.
Overall, the Titans defense is in the middle of the pack at #15, while Miami is #1.
Ryan Tannehill threw an INT on Sep 30. That was his last INT. In October and November he has three TDs and zero INTs (Miami is 3-1 in those games. RT did not play much in one of those games, but still I am impressed that he has not been picked off since September).
Dolphins rookie RT Martin will be tested today by Derrick Morgan. The Titans 3rd year defensive-end has played very well lately (he is likely playing the best ball of his career so far). Martin has the worst grades for the ‘Phins o-line vs the pass and, as we saw earlier, he is grading as the worst ‘Phin vs the run too.
The left side of the Dolphins o-line – Jake Long and Richie Incognito – are by far the most penalized players on the team. Richard Marshall was ranked the worst in this category, but we know his 2012 is finished.
The Titans have yielded 30+ points a whopping 7 times this season. They were torched at home last weekend to the tune of 51 Chicago Bears points (yikes). In all four of the Titans road games this season they have yielded 30+ points.
Thank you for reading! Enjoy your Sunday…
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