San Diego has a 19-11 record all-time against Cincinnati and is 8-3 in their last 11 games against them, but lost their last meeting during the 2010 NFL season.
San Diego’s ability to contain Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton will be the key to victory. Dalton ranks fifth in the NFL with 23 touchdown passes.
Dalton’s QB rating ranks 11th in the league and San Diego is 0-6 against teams this season that currently have a player with an above average QB rating.
Dalton has never faced San Diego in the regular season while Philip Rivers has a 2-1 record against Cincinnati with seven touchdowns and three interceptions.
San Diego needs to slow down Cincinnati’s punt return game as well because they rank seventh in the NFL with an average of 11.5 yards per return.
The Lighting Bolts also have to contain Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green who ranks first in the NFL with 10 touchdown receptions, fourth in receiving yards per game and eighth in receptions.
Ryan Mathews should have a big game on Sunday because Cincinnati gives up 4.4 yards per rushing attempt which ranks 21st in the NFL.
The Lighting Bolts should be able to contain Cincinnati’s rushing attack because San Diego gives up 3.8 yards per attempt which ranks sixth in the NFL while Cincinnati averages 4.2 yards per attempt which ranks 14th in the NFL.
San Diego gives up 21.5 points per game which ranks 12th in the league and Cincinnati surrenders 22.5 points per game which ranks 15th in the NFL.
San Diego has a 10-5 record all-time at home against Cincinnati, but San Diego is 0-5 against teams this season that currently have a winning record. I expect this to continue with a 20-14 loss on Sunday.