2013 NFL Mock Draft: Super Bowl Edition
2013 NFL Draft Pre Super Bowl Edition
Well, the NFL regular season is in the books. The playoffs have wrapped up and the two contestants in the Super Bowl have been decided. The Baltimore Ravens will take on the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII on February 2nd, 2013 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
And along with that the order for the 2013 NFL draft is set. All 32 picks are lined up and for 30 teams the off-season has already begun. Many NFL franchises went through significant changes whether it's via head coaches, general managers or a combination of both.
Another significant date has come and gone. The date for underclassmen to declare for the draft was January 15th. Just as a perspective there are just over 255 total picks in all seven rounds, and on average just over 40 underclassmen are drafted each year. While I expect there to be more taken this year, it's a virtual certainty that quite a few of these young men will not have their name called in the draft and that's unfortunate.
You will see as usual that players have shuffled up and down the order. The NFL draft is a very fluid situation and with every coaching change or player move, who a team may target in this round will change. But keep in mind, this two-round NFL mock draft is strictly a prediction at this point. Much less about who I would put in a particular spot and more about who I think a particular team would put there instead. So sit back and enjoy this new two-round 2013 NFL mock draft.
And don't forget to come find me on Twitter @nfldraftboard for more NFL draft ramblings.
1-Kansas City Chiefs-Geno Smith, QB West Virginia
At this point there are really only two picks here. It's either Geno Smith or offensive tackle Luke Joeckel from Texas A&M. If the Kansas City Chiefs chose not to re-sign tackle Branden Albert, then Joeckel is the pick. But if they do, a quarterback, in all likelihood Smith is the man. I still expect the new regime in Kansas City to work hard to try and trade out of this spot.
2-Jacksonville Jaguars-Damontre Moore, DE Texas A&M
There is a growing sentiment that the Jacksonville Jaguars are not going to draft a quarterback at two, and so I bend to their will with this pick. The next best player has to be Damontre Moore. He's so strong and can stick his foot in the ground and get around the edge in a hurry. If the Jaguars don't draft a quarterback, a game changer like Moore would have to be the pick.
3-Oakland Raiders-Star Lotulelei, DT Utah
I honestly get no feel for what the Oakland Raiders want to do. No matter how many fans I ask, I get a half dozen answers, and looking over their roster, their needs are askew to the top players. I go Star Lotulelei here to allow the Raiders to cut ties with troubled defensive tackle Tommy Kelly. They could draft a defensive end here, or if they chose to cut loose quarterback Carson Palmer, don't rule out a quarterback.
4-Philadelphia Eagles-Luke Joeckel, OT Texas A&M
The Philadelphia Eagles have a new head coach in Chip Kelly, and with that a new offensive system. He's going to need players to run his offense, and part of that is a quick, athletic offensive line that can still block downhill with power. Luke Joeckel is one of the two or three best tackles I've scouted in ten years, and fits the bill perfectly as that left tackle in Kelly's offense, who can kick out on the outside zone read, or work down the line in the inside zone read and power play.
5-Detroit Lions-DeMarcus Milliner, CB Alabama
This is an either or type of pick for the Detroit Lions. They are going to want to try and get the greatest impact they can with this pick. That means either a defensive end or a cornerback. I lean cornerback here with DeMarchus Milliner, who is a top five pick by default in this draft class. He's an excellent, experienced cornerback who does a very good job playing on the outside. He'll likely start from day one for the Lions and that makes this a good value pick.
6-Cleveland Browns-Jarvis Jones, LB Georgia
The new staff for the Cleveland Browns is going to be bringing a new defense and that defense is going to be an attacking 3-4 base package that will require exceptional rush outside linebackers. Jarvis Jones is that guy. Not great with his hand on the ground, but standing up and being allowed to rush and freelance, Jones is going to be able to wreak havoc on the league. This, of course, is assuming his health checks out in the off-season.
7-Arizona Cardinals-Tyler Wilson, QB Arkansas
Arizona Cardinals fans are a patient lot, but their patience has run out. It's time for the Cardinals front office to make a move to give this team some hope. That pick is not a defensive lineman. It's a quarterback and Tyler Wilson looks the part of a franchise signal caller. He's been my top quarterback all year and that hasn't changed.
8-Buffalo Bills-Ryan Nassib, QB Syracuse
I can't believe I am even putting this pick here. Call it peer pressure I guess, but if the Buffalo Bills want Ryan Nassib, then go ahead and draft him. There's a reason this team hasn't been good for a long time, and over drafting Nassib this season would just follow that pattern. I like Nassib and think he's a nice prospect, but this is far too soon for him.
9-New York Jets-Mike Glennon, QB North Carolina State
The run on quarterbacks continue with the big, strong-armed Mike Glennon to the New York Jets. At some point Jets head coach Rex Ryan is going to have to cut ties with all the dead weight on this team's quarterback depth chart. Glennon certainly looks the part of an NFL quarterback, but needs to get more careful with the football and make better decisions.
10-Tennessee Titans-Bjoern Werner, DE Florida State
As tenuous as the quarterback situation is in Tennessee it certainly appears the Titans are satisfied with what they have. So instead they turn their attention to the defense and go with the best player left on the board with Bjoern Werner. I'm not sold on his effort, but you can't deny his athletic ability and he is very polished as a pass rusher. I put Werner a step below Moore, but still an excellent player who can play both the pass and the run.
11-San Diego Chargers-Eric Fisher, OT Central Michigan
The position of need here is clear. The Chargers must have a new offensive tackle. However, who the second best tackle after Joeckel is a case of much debate. I put Fisher here because I love his combination of size and athleticism, along with a nasty streak every tackle needs. I also think Fisher could play some guard in a pinch and that makes him even more valuable to a team like the Chargers who suffered through poor play by their offensive line all season.
12-Miami Dolphins-Barkevious Mingo, DE/LB LSU
The Dolphins are another team with lots of spots they can upgrade, but not really in any spots of value at this point. What they can always benefit from is a better pass rush, where they struggled last season. Mingo is raw but uber-athletic and I imagine more Dolphins fans would be excited to Mingo opposite fellow pass rusher Cameron Wake.
13-Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Johnthan Banks, CB Mississippi State
The Buccaneers have made it clear they are willing to entertain offers for quarterback Josh Freeman. If they should deal him, one of the quarterbacks drafted should fall to them, and likely be the pick here. But should they not deal Freeman, a cornerback is the highest position of need and even with his shortcomings, Banks is the best cornerback left on the board.
14-Carolina Panthers-Jesse Williams, DT Alabama
The Panthers as a team are a mystery to me. They have their franchise quarterback, capable skills players and a solid offensive line. But on defense they have struggled. Williams is huge and athletic and a serious disruptive force in the middle of a defensive line. I have to believe the Panthers entire defensive unit. This would be a best player available pick for the Panthers, but should be able to start from day one.
15-New Orleans Saints-Dion Jordan, DE Oregon
I have had the Saints taking a defensive end in their spot for the last half of the season, and nothing has changed. This team still has to find a way to get to the quarterback and defend the edges in the run game as well. I am not so convinced that Jordan is an elite player as some others, but it won't shock me if he ends up being taken a little early.
16-St. Louis Rams-Dallas Thomas, OT Tennessee
The Rams had hoped that more elite underclassmen offensive tackles would have declared for this draft, but that doesn't change anything for them. Offensive tackle is still far and away their greatest need, so Thomas and his athleticism on the left side is the pick here. I'd prefer a player who's stronger at the point of attack here, but Thomas and his ability to protect quarterback Sam Bradford's blindside is going to be invaluable. He can also move to guard in a pinch and the Rams need help all over the place.
17-Pittsburgh Steelers-Chance Warmack, OG Alabama
After drafting guard David DeCastro in the first round last season you wouldn't think guard would be a need this year. But keep in mind guard Kelvin Beachum is in line to start at right guard. The talent gap between Beachum and Warmack is enormous and if this team wants to get back to running the football, there can be no better value pick here. I graded Warmack out considerably higher than DeCastro last year.
18-Dallas Cowboys-Sheldon Richardson, DT Missouri
The likelihood that the Cowboys will transition to a base 4-3 defense and the Tampa 2 scheme is very real with the addition of new defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin. Looking at the roster, the player that seems to be absent from the roster that is a must in the Tampa 2 is a pass rushing 3 technique defensive tackle. Richardson is a perfect fit for that scheme, and would be excellent in that role.
19-New York Giants-Xavier Rhodes, CB FSU
I have gone back and forth between a defensive lineman and a cornerback in this spot for the Giants for most of the season. At this point I am firmly in the camp that if the Giants can get Rhodes, who is clearly the third best cornerback in this draft, they will take him, and add defensive line depth on day two. The only change for this would be is if a top defensive lineman slipped to them or one of the players rated lower really have a huge off-season and shot up draft boards.
20-Chicago Bears-Jonathan Cooper, OG North Carolina
I think most feel that offensive tackle is the prime need for the Bears, and I agree. But I am taking the philosophy that drafting the best offensive lineman here, and Cooper is that guy. He will improve the play of the entire offensive line. Cooper is a very athletic guard who can pull and finishes with authority. The Bears still need to bolster the tackle position, but Cooper may just be too good to pass up.
21-Cincinnati Bengals-Manti Te'o, LB Notre Dame
The philosophy of the Bengals has always been to find good football players and at times overlook some of the warts. Te'o has had what could best be described as a strange year, but the fact is he can still play some football, and plays in a position that the Bengals could use an upgrade. Te'o being drafted around this spot seems fair for his talent and assuming there isn't more dirty laundry coming out to push him down, I can see the Bengals pulling the trigger here.
22-St. Louis Rams-Kenny Vaccaro, S Texas
The Rams are looking at a new defensive scheme for next season, and I am making this pick based on the notion that they will transition to a 3-4 defense that can benefit greatly from a rangy, big hitting safety who can cover a lot of field and hit hard. Vaccaro is the most complete and athletic safety in the draft, who also has the best film on him from the past season. I expect Vaccaro to have an even better off-season and really open eyes.
23-Minnesota Vikings-Tyler Bray, QB Tennessee
I know this will get under the skin of plenty of Vikings fans, but after seeing what happened this season when the lack of depth of this team was exposed at quarterback, the position must be addressed. Even if it's only to create an open competition and the best quarterback wins, this team, and the rest of the players on it deserve better quarterback play. Bray is long and kind of skinny, but he's confident and fearless, has a nice set up and excellent arm, and to use a classic football cliche', he is a gunslinger.
24-Indianapolis Colts-John Jenkins, DT Georgia
The Colts really did amazing this year after being the worst team in football in 2011. And moving to a 3-4 defense on the fly, they really did the best they could. But this year it's time to smooth out the edges and refine the defensive roster. For the 3-4 that means a true nose tackle and the massive Jenkins fits the bill perfectly. He isn't overly athletic, but he's a biscuit short of 360 pounds and will command constant double teams, allowing the linebackers behind him to make plays.
25-Seattle Seahawks-Sharrif Floyd, DT Florida
I don't typically react to a single game when it comes to a mock draft, but after watching the Seahawks defensive line get pushed around in the playoffs, they have to get better. Floyd is a great prospect because he can play a 3 technique penetrating defensive tackle, but I think he could also move outside and play a strong side defensive end as well and get after the quarterback.
26-Green Bay Packers-DJ Fluker, OT Alabama
The Packers had their offensive line be their Achilles heal for most of the season, so in terms of a best player available pick, Fluker makes perfect sense. There are other spots of need, and so I won't rule out something a little more unconventional here, but keeping it safe and simple, I go Fluker. He's a great fit especially if the Packers decide they want to run the ball more next season, because Fluker can cut a path for a running back.
27-Houston Texans-Alec Ogletree, LB Georgia
The Texans are another team who got hung out to dry in the playoffs by a lackluster defensive performance. Whether or not linebacker Brian Cushing returns to full speed, there has to be a place among these linebackers for a playmaker like Ogletree. He's so explosive and athletic, he will give this team another aggressive player on a rather passive defense.
28-Denver Broncos-Jordan Poyer, CB Oregon State
This pick might be a bit of a reach, but if you look at the Broncos' roster, it's either a cornerback or a defensive tackle, and I'd put Poyer ahead of the next best 3 technique passing rushing defensive tackle. Poyer has great speed and size and would be able to learn on the fly as a nickle corner right away in Denver.
29-New England Patriots-Barrett Jones, OT/OG/C Alabama
The Patriots have really built a well-rounded team on both sides of the football. So don't be shocked if they trade out of this spot to stockpile picks to use later in this draft and in future drafts. But if they stay put they are going to want a player who can do lots of good things for the team, and Jones and his ability to play all along the offensive line would certainly fit the bill.
30-Baltimore Ravens-Arthur Brown, LB Kansas State
The Ravens must face the fact that they may lose two starting linebackers this off-season. One to retirement and another to free agency. Brown is grossly underrated by lots of folks who haven't seen him play. But I think in the Ravens' scheme, he could play on the inside or the outside and be very effective.
31-Atlanta Falcons-Ezekiel Ansah, DE BYU
I am the first one to say that the Falcons need to draft a pass rusher early in this draft. But I'm not sure if Ansah is a first round pick yet. But this is a prediction, not what I would do, so the Falcons go with the raw athlete that appears to have tons of potential. All eyes will be on Ansah this off-season to see just how much football he can play to go with all that raw athletic ability.
32-San Francisco 49ers-Matt Elam, S Florida
The 49ers have very few weak spots, but one I can see them wanting an upgrade in is at safety. Elam is a big physical safety who hits like a hammer. He's a perfect fit for the physical style of defense the 49ers like to play. If they don't go safety here, they might try and find some depth on the defensive line. But I have a hard time thinking that head coach Jim Harbaugh isn't going to love what Elam can bring to that defense.
1: Jacksonville Jaguars-QB Matt Barkley, USC
2: Kansas City Chiefs-WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee
3: Philadelphia Eagles-CB Logan Ryan, Rutgers
4: Detroit Lions-LB Kevin Minter, LSU
5: Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland)-DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
6: Arizona Cardinals-OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma
7: Cleveland Browns-Forfeited (2012 Supplemental Draft)
8: New York Jets-DE Sam Montgomery, LSU
9: Tennessee Titans-OT Justin Pugh, Syracuse
10: Buffalo Bills-WR Keenan Allen, Cal
11: Miami Dolphins-WR Terrance Williams, Baylor
12: Tampa Bay Buccaneers-DE Alex Okafor, Texas
13: Carolina Panthers-WR Tavon Austin, West Virginia
14: New Orleans Saints-Forfeited (NFL penalty)
15: St. Louis Rams-RB Eddie Lacy, Alabama
16: San Diego Chargers-OLB Chase Thomas, Stanford
17: Dallas Cowboys-OG Larry Warford, Kentucky
18: Pittsburgh Steelers-S Eric Reid, LSU
19: New York Giants-DE Datone Jones, UCLA
20: Chicago Bears-WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson
21: Washington Redskins-TE Zach Ertz, Stanford
22: Minnesota Vikings-DT Kawann Short, Purdue
23: Cincinnati Bengals-WR Justin Hunter, Tennessee
24: Miami Dolphins (from Indianapolis)-WR Robert Woods, USC
25: Seattle Seahawks-TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
26: Green Bay Packers-RBGio Bernard, North Carolina
27: Houston Texans-QB Zac Dysert, Miami(OH)
28: Denver Broncos-DE Margus Hunt, SMU
29: New England Patriots-S Phillip Thomas, Fresno State
30: Atlanta Falcons-TE Jordan Reed, Florida
31: Baltimore Ravens -FS OT Kyle Long, Oregon
32: San Francisco 49ers-CB Desmond Trufant, Washington