Of all the fun, innovative, and interesting prop bets in Super Bowl XLVII the one where you pick the MVP may not be hottest one, but it is the one I feel strongest about.
I was feeling like San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick was the biggest X-factor in Super Bowl history as this is a guy that will have a chance to alter the game with his arm and/or his legs. As I wrote my game preview (RIGHT HERE) and I was writing in the Niners passing section and also their running game section I started to connect the idea that Kaepernick is going to have a chance to be massive in this game which I think is going to equal Super Bowl MVP for the 25 year old who is perhaps growing into a sensation.
I tried to entertain several different MVP ideas, but for me I just don’t see anyone who will have as many chances to make big plays as the former Nevada Wolf Pack star, plus the history of the award points to Kaepernick (in my opinion anyway).
In the 46 years of the big game there have been co-winners once (Super Bowl XII the Dallas Cowboys had co-MVP’s Randy White and Harvey Martin, both of whom were on defense). In the history of the award there have been eight players from the defensive side of the ball, plus one special teamer (Desmond Howard for the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl XXXI) win the MVP. That leaves a massive 38 players named MVP of the big game who played on offense, and a whopping 25 of those guys were quarterbacks (including five times the last six Super Bowls).
The history of the award suggests that the quarterback from the winning team will be the MVP, and for me that is going to be Kaepernick, then add in the fact that any in-game scenario that dictates a run or a pass from the 49ers will see Kaepernick with a chance to be the guy making the play. The voting will be 80% media and 20% fan vote, and I think there is money to be made on Sunday by betting on Kaepernick to go to Disney World.