2013 NFL Mock Draft, Week 2: 1 Round
2013 NFL Mock Draft: Week 2
It’s time for the weekly update of my one-round 2013 NFL mock draft. Big changes this week as free agency is in full swing. This free agency period has been very active, and plenty of teams have made an effort to improve significant positions of need through free agency.
Biggest news of the week as far as the draft goes is that the Minnesota Vikings have traded wide receiver Percy Harvin to the Seattle Seahawks for their 1st round pick. That's a steep price to pay and puts wide receiver firmly at the top of the Vikings' team needs. The other big draft related story pertains to the Buffalo Bills releasing starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick. The position of quarterback has been one of great debate in this draft, but it appears as if at least one quarterback will go off the board early.
What this means for the draft is there will be changes. Lots and lots of changes. Some players have fallen out of the first round completely with the changes, like Mississippi State cornerback Jonathan Banks and Texas defensive end Alex Okafor. It’s not that these players aren’t great because they are, but as the needs of teams change, players get shuffled around.
There are some new entries to the first round as well. As I have studied more and more film, some names have started to stand out to me. I have put Georgia linebacker Alec Ogletree back into my first round as well as Syracuse tackle Justin Pugh. Both players continue to impress in games and their ability to play multiple positions really helps their stock.
But as these mock drafts update weekly, things will continue to ebb and flow. Players will be signed and released, trades will happen and the needs of the 32 NFL franchises will change with that.
1.1-Kansas City Chiefs-Luke Joeckel, OT Texas A&M
Luke Joeckel, offensive tackle Texas A&M
Sticking with Joeckel in the number 1 spot, but as I speculated several weeks ago, this pick is on the trading block. By the time the draft gets here, I won't be at all shocked if a different team is making this pick. If for some reason the Chiefs can't trade out of it, Joeckel must be the pick. The Chiefs have done a nice job addressing needs early in free agency, but they still need an offensive tackle to replace Eric Winston. The mystery would be if the Chiefs will move offensive tackle Branden Albert to the right side, or start Joeckel there. I have to believe Joeckel would play this season on the right side, but ultimately his future is on the left.
Joeckel scouting report
1.2-Jacksonville Jaguars-Barkevious Mingo, LB LSU
Barkevious Mingo, defensive end LSU
Another carry over pick for the Jaguars. Of all the edge rushers in this draft Mingo is likely the best fit for what the Jaguars are wanting to do on defense. There's been little discussion, but I have to think that West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith is in play here as well. This is especially true if no team goes up to get Smith at No. 1 overall. Mingo is an excellent athlete and a terror on the edge.
Mingo scouting report
1.3 Oakland Raiders-Sharrif Floyd, DT Florida
Sharrif Floyd, defensive tackle Florida
I had West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith here last week, but I just don't buy it. If Smith isn't gone it's a possibility, but I have to believe they go defense here. Floyd is a tremendous 3-technique prospect who would add a level of physical play and athleticism to the Raiders defense they have been lacking. I am leaving quarterback out of the picture for the Raiders at this time until I hear something about quarterback Carson Palmer being released.
1.4-Philadelphia Eagles-Dion Jordan, DE/LB Oregon
Dion Jordan, defensive end Oregon
Jordan to the Eagles seems like a foregone conclusion at this point. There is always a chance the Eagles choose to go with an offensive tackle or a player along the defensive line, but for now I am counting on Eagles head coach Chip Kelly wanting to tap into the unlimited potential of Jordan as an edge rusher. He played for Kelly and Kelly was able to use him in multiple ways. The Eagles should be able to do something similar if he can continue to grow as a player.
1.5-Detroit Lions-Eric Fisher, OT Central Michigan
Eric Fisher, offensive tackle Central Michigan
There are really two directions the Lions can go here. They need to upgrade their defensive end position, and they need a new starting offensive tackle. I lean Fisher here, because compared to the next highest rated rush end who is a good fit for a 4-3, Fisher is a much better prospect. Fisher's strength is his footwork, and while I question his ability to run block on a consistent basis in the NFL, as a blindside protector for quarterback Matthew Stafford, he would be a tremendous pick here.
1.6-Cleveland Browns-Cordarrelle Patterson, WR Tennessee
Cordarrelle Patterson, wide receiver Tennessee
Patterson here might seem like a bit of a reach, but it's more of a testament to how well the Browns have done in free agency. They have been able to fill several significant needs with free agent signings, and that gives them the opportunity to add an explosive weapon in the passing game for quarterback Brandon Weeden. Patterson is like lightning in the open field and can turn a short throw into a long run as well as any player in the draft.
Patterson scouting report
1.7-Arizona Cardinals-Ezekial Ansah, DE/LB BYU
Ezekial Ansah, defensive end BYU
Ansah is becoming something of a darling of the draft community. His combination of size and speed cannot be denied. But he's very raw, very unrefined and needs a lot of coaching to be ready to contribute in the NFL. The Cardinals have done a decent job filling some holes on defense, and while I won't rule out an offensive lineman or even a quarterback here, I can certainly see Ansah and all his potential being too much for the Cardinals to pass up here.
1.8-Buffalo Bills-Geno Smith, QB WVU
Geno Smith, quarterback West Virginia
The Bills created an immediate need at quarterback when they released longtime starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick. It seems difficult to imagine the Bills would make a move like that and then wait beyond the 1st round to draft his replacement. I have a full scouting report of Smith coming soon, but the bottom line is he's the consensus top quarterback in this draft, and shows all the physical tools to succeed in the NFL. You pair that up with his high IQ and if the Bills coaching staff can get a system in place that works for him, he could be a franchise type quarterback.
1.9-New York Jets-Star Lotulelei, DT Utah
It is almost impossible to know what the Jets are thinking year to year. They have done little to help their team in free agency, and still have multiple holes to fill. So going off the philosophy drafting the best player on the board when there are so many spots that can be upgraded, I go with Lotulelei. He has the potential to be an All-Pro 5-technique defensive end in a 3-4 or move inside as a 3-technique tackle on passing downs. His quickness and passing rushing ability are rare for a man his size and should provide the Jets with some options on defense.
1.10-Tennessee Titans-Dee Milliner, CB Alabama
Dee Milliner, cornerback Alabama
The Titans have gone to great lengths to improve their offense this offseason, so I expect them to lean defense in the draft. While I don't consider Milliner the top cornerback in this draft, most assume he'll be the first off the board and would be an excellent slot/nickel corner from the first week. I wouldn't rule out a defensive lineman here as well if one of the top players fell to them.
1.11-San Diego Chargers-Lane Johnson, OT Oklahoma
Lane Johnson, offensive tackle Oklahoma
The Chargers are going to be sitting here at 11 and hoping that Johnson falls to them. Offensive tackle is clearly their greatest need at this point, and even with his shortcomings Johnson is the best option at this point. Johnson is a remarkable athlete who has switched positions multiple times in his college career and looks to have almost unlimited potential as a player. But he is raw, and is much more of a finesse player than point of attack type of mauler. He'll need to get stronger and more aggressive at the next level against NFL quality defensive linemen. But even with that he's got all the makings of an elite pass protector and so his selection here makes sense.
1.12-Miami Dolphins-Xavier Rhodes, CB FSU
Xavier Rhodes, cornerback FSU
The Dolphins are adding players left and right like a game of Madden, but one position that looks like they aren't going to be able to maintain is at cornerback. After losing Sean Smith, filling that spot has to be a top priority, and at this point in the draft Rhodes might be their best bet. A wildcard in this is if the Dolphins aren't able to retain tackle Jake Long, the Dolphins front office would need to weigh out best player available between cornerback and tackle here. I like Rhodes as a player and think he's a nice pick here who shows a ton of athletic potential that the Dolphins can cultivate.
1.13-Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Tank Carradine, DE FSU
Tank Carradine, defensive end FSU
I have Carradine rated higher than most because at 100% he's the best pass rusher in this draft, bar none. But as he recovers from a knee injury teams, have to be concerned if he can be ready to play this season. Carradine insists he will be ready and trusting that I put him here to a Buccaneers team that needs a pass rusher in the worst way. Carradine is big, strong and explodes off the edge. He'd be a great fit for the Tampa defense and is good against the run as well.
1.14-Carolina Panthers-Sheldon Richardson, DT Missouri
Sheldon Richardson, defensive tackle Missouri
When he's at his best, Richardson is the most unstoppable defensive tackle in this entire class. But shortcomings against the run and problems with his tackling push him down a little to me which makes for a nice value pick for the Panthers. The Panthers haven't been at all active in free agency, so there are multiple directions they could go, but Richardson is likely the best player available.
Richardson scouting report
1.15-New Orleans Saints-Jarvis Jones, DE/LB Georgia
Jarvis Jones, defensive end Georgia
With Jones getting a clean bill of health he's once again in play to be a very high pick. He will likely slide a little due to teams filling their need for a pass rusher through free agency, but make no mistake this is a top ten type of talent. The Saints have made some moves to improve their pass rush, but I can't see how they can pass on a player as talented as Jones this late in the first round.
1.16-St. Louis Rams-Tavon Austin, WR WVU
Tavon Austin, wide receiver West Virginia
The Rams need a new left tackle much more than they need another wide receiver, but the drop off in talent at this point is too steep to make that pick. Taking Austin at this point would add an explosive element this offense hasn't had in a very long time. The Rams lost wide receiver Danny Amendola, but if they could replace him with Austin that would certainly be an upgrade. Another thought is the Rams have two first round picks, so I wouldn't rule out a trade up to snag one of the top three offensive tackles.
1.17-Pittsburgh Steelers-Chance Warmack, OG Alabama
Chance Warmack, offensive guard Alabama
The Steelers appear to be losing talent all over the field at this point. Cornerback, wide receiver and outside linebacker are all needs. So it would be such a Steelers pick to simply avoid all those and just draft a top 5 talent who slips to 17 in Warmack. He is a massive man and a mauling run blocker who would give the Steelers the best interior offensive line in the AFC. There are obviously players at all those positions the Steelers could draft here, but with a reputation for taking the best player available, I have a hard time thinking that's anyone but Warmack.
1.18-Dallas Cowboys-Sylvester Williams, DT North Carolina
Sylvester Williams, defensive tackle North Carolina
The Cowboys defense is going through some significant changes this offseason. A move to a 4-3 defense means that there is some particular personnel that must be added. One of which is a pass rushing 3-technique tackle. Williams might not be considered a first round pick by most, but if not for his problems with tackling he's as talented as any defensive player in this entire draft.
1.19-New York Giants-Kenny Vaccaro, S Texas
Kenny Vaccaro, safety Texas
The Giants have tried to make some moves to upgrade their secondary, but with the 19th pick, and the best defensive tackles off the board, you just can't pass on a talent like Vaccaro. At Texas Vaccaro was asked to do everything from slide into the box and stuff the run like a linebacker to covering slot receivers in man coverage. He can blitz he can drop into zone and he can hit like a hammer. The gap between him and the next best safety in this class based on games is significant, so getting him at 19 would be a very nice get for the Giants.
1.20-Chicago Bears-Arthur Brown, LB K-State
Arthur Brown, linebacker Kansas State
Brown is a rare type of talent in this draft. The linebackers in this draft who get all the press are typically of the hybrid rush end variety, but Brown is a much more traditional, however versatile player. I can see Brown playing inside, especially in a 3-4 defense where his speed and acceleration would allow him to work sideline to sideline against the run. For the Bears he can play inside on first and second down, where he can get a free run at the ball carrier and then slide to the weakside in the nickel and dime packages to rush or cover. Regardless Brown is a tremendous talent and would be a great pick for the Bears.
1.21-Cincinnati Bengals-Justin Pugh, OT Syracuse
Justin Pugh, offensive tackle Syracuse
Pugh to the Bengals might be the first wildcard of the draft. The Bengals could select any number of positions here, but if they are unable to re-sign tackle Andre Smith, they will almost certainly need a new right tackle. And if they can get him back, Pugh looks to be a player who would be able to backup tackle or guard and eventually be an excellent starting guard if they needed him. I wouldn't rule out adding a running back or even a linebacker here also.
1.22-St. Louis Rams(from Washington)-Jonathan Cooper, OG North Carolina
Jonathan Cooper, guard North Carolina
The re-build of the Rams offense continues with Cooper.
1.23-Minnesota Vikings-Jesse Williams, DT Alabama
Jesse Williams, defensive tackle Alabama
The Vikings are a team trying very hard to build a winner around running back Adrian Peterson. Making a trade for an extra first round pick allows them to address the middle of their defensive line. This defense is at its best when it have a big wide body in the middle, and Williams more than qualifies. He's not going to wow you with his athleticism, but his game is all about power. He can move double teams around and pancake one on one blocking. The back end of the Vikings defense could be much better with a player like Williams up front collapsing the pocket.
1.24-Indianapolis Colts-Damontre Moore, LB Texas A&M
Damontre Moore, LB Texas A&M
The Colts new 3-4 defense did a more than admirable job last season considering how few parts they had in place. This offseason the Colts have made a concerted effort to upgrade on that side of the football. With the offense seemingly in hand, Moore this late in the round is a luxury pick. Moore's stock has tumbled some due to his lack of athleticism compared to some of the other hybrid rush ends, but Moore's skills show up on game day and would be an excellent addition this late in the round.
1.25-Minnesota Vikings(from Seattle)-DeAndre Hopkins, WR Clemson
DeAndre Hopkins, wide receiver Clemson
Part of the moves the Vikings have made this offseason was to trade away star wide receiver Percy Harvin. Even with the signing of Greg Jennings, the cupboards are pretty bare in the passing game. Hopkins is a player that really does everything well, without any qualities that stand out as elite, but with no real weaknesses either. Hopkins' game would pair very well with Jennings and give quarterback Christian Ponder a very reliable target.
1.26-Green Bay Packers-Alec Ogletree, LB Georgia
Alec Ogletree, linebacker Georgia
The Packers defense is in need of more athletes. You could see in games last year where they just didn't have the speed to keep up with some offenses. Ogletree is a real star in the making at linebacker, especially inside in a 3-4 where he can chase and tackle, and as a blitzer from the inside where he's so fast or as a LOLB rusher opposite Clay Matthews. The Packers other big need on defense is safety, but I'm not sure if there is one I'd draft at this point, assuming Vaccaro is off the board already.
1.27-Houston Texans-Menelik Watson, OT FSU
Menelik Watson, OT FSU
The Texans are in a position where their primary positions of need really don't make for a good value pick at this point. So instead they roll the dice on an upside player in Watson. If he can become the football player that matches his athleticism, he'll be a great one. At this point in the round as a potential starting right tackle he's not a bad risk.
1.28-Denver Broncos-Eddie Lacy, RB Alabama
Eddie Lacy, running back Alabama
The Broncos are another team that has done a tremendous job upgrading both sides of the football during free agency, so they are allowed to reach a little here. Lacy is one of the few backs in the draft who could be a real feature back for a team. With Peyton Manning at quarterback and that Broncos offensive line in place, Lacy would really be able to churn out big yards. His mix of size and quickness/agility is unmatched in this draft.
1.29-New England Patriots-Desmond Trufant, CB Washington
Desmond Trufant, cornerback Washington
By the time the draft gets here I have a hard time with the idea of Trufant really falling this far, but if he should the Patriots would almost certainly snatch him up. He's a big, physical coverage player who can cover in multiple schemes and isn't afraid to defend the run. His ability to be moved around on the defense would be something the Patriots coaching staff could really take advantage of, even possibly playing him at some safety initially.
Trufant scouting report
1.30-Atlanta Falcons-Bjoern Werner, DE FSU
Bjoern Werner, defensive end FSU
Oh how far Werner has fallen. At one point Werner was a virtual lock for a top 10 selection, but lack of elite measureables and very inconsistent effort in games has pushed him down to the Falcons at 30. That's not to say Werner isn't a great pass rusher, because when he's putting out excellent effort he's a terror from the edge. He needs to get stronger to set the edge, but the biggest thing he can gain by NFL coaching is a better work effort and playing through the whistle on every play.
1.31-San Francisco 49ers-Jonathan Cyprien, S FIU
Jonathan Cyprien, safety FIU
Cyprien is a guy who seems to be building a lot of steam as the draft approaches. The 49ers need a new safety, and while I don't see the skills in Cyprien to warrant a first round pick, this is a prediction, not my ideal. I think Cyprien is a more in the box strong safety where he can read and react to the run play and attack. Back in coverage he doesn't look nearly as confident, and what he showed at the Senior Bowl doesn't negate his performance against lower level competition all season.
1.32-Baltimore Ravens-Keenan Allen, WR Cal
Keenan Allen, wide receiver Cal
Allen is another wide receiver who has watched his stock drop when he couldn't even play a game. He's dealt with some injuries late in the season that have kept him out of workouts and it's the case of out of sight, out of mind. Allen reminds me a lot of Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Reggie Wayne with his style of play and comparable athletic ability. He gets a bump from me based on the fact he's had to play on a terrible Cal offense where he was the focus of the defense every week. The Ravens are having a fire sale on free agents so they need to add a player like Allen to give quarterback Joe Flacco another target in the passing offense.