Five 2013 NFL Draft First-Round Picks Who Will Be Busts
2013: Five First-Round Picks Who Will Become Busts
Ryan Leaf, Brian Bosworth, Lawrence Phillips, Courtney Brown, JaMarcus Russell and the list goes on and on. Every single year there are guys who are taken early in the NFL Draft and become busts. They come in all shapes, sizes and play many different positions. Some of these guys, like Russell and Tony Mandarich, were combine warriors whose insane workout numbers made teams forget that they were not very good at football. Some are like Leaf and Phillips, who let their attitudes and off-the-field problems get in the way of them being successful NFL players. It is hard to pinpoint which players will become busts, but it will surely happen to a handful of guys in each draft class.
Obviously no team wants to select a bust, but there are some teams who seem to just ask for it. For example, the Oakland Raiders have earned a reputation of selecting players with great upside. While the upside is nice to have, you have to look at the downside of a player's talent as well. In 2009, the Raiders selected Darrius Heyward-Bey with the seventh overall pick in the draft. Heyward-Bey was thought of as a prospect with great speed but little to nothing else to offer. He did not have very good hands or run routes very well. That being said, Heyward-Bey killed it athletically with his size and speed combination. The Raiders took the wide receiver much higher than his value indicated. This offseason the Raiders cut Heyward-Bey after four disappointing seasons in Oakland. He is widely considered a bust, and the Raiders wasted another pick that could have been used on players who went later such as Michael Crabtree, Josh Freeman, Brian Orakpo or Percy Harvin.
Obviously it is easy to look back now and pick out players who were bad picks, but the trick is to find guys with bust potential similar to Heyward-Bey, Leaf, Bosworth and the others I have mentioned. Here are five first-round picks from the 2013 draft that I see having similar bust potential.
29th Overall Pick: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Cordarrelle Patterson is a classic boom-or-bust type of prospect. Yes, with his great size and speed, he does have a very high ceiling. That being said, he has never really put up impressive numbers against good competition and is considered to be immature. I see Patterson being a bust in the NFL.
24th Overall Pick: Bjoern Werner, DE, Indianapolis Colts
Personally, I am just not a fan of Bjoern Werner. He does not show the elite athleticism that is needed to be a great player in the NFL. I could see Werner becoming a decent player who is used to stop the run, but he does not have the raw talent to become an elite pass rusher in the NFL.
16th Overall Pick: E.J. Manuel, QB, Buffalo Bills
E.J. Manuel is a guy that I would have taken as a flyer later in the draft. The Buffalo Bills taking him in the first round was crazy to me. I understand that it was a weak quarterback class and you should take the guy that you like, but while Manuel has good upside, he is a very risky pick. Manuel does have good athletic ability and a strong arm, but he is not a polished passer. His accuracy is spotty at best, he shows terrible decision making ability and he has never performed well against elite defenses. Manuel has some nice raw talent, but he is a bust waiting to happen.
9th Overall Pick: Dee Milliner, CB, New York Jets
While I did like the Sheldon Richardson pick in the first round for the New York Jets, I am not a fan of Dee Milliner. He has good size, but he does not use it to his advantage. A guy at 6'1, and weighing 198 pounds, that plays corner should be more physical than what Milliner is. Athletically, he is solid but nothing special, and he was only a one-year starter at the University of Alabama. Only time will tell, but I see Milliner becoming a first-round bust.
3rd Overall Pick: Dion Jordan, DE, Miami Dolphins
I thought that the Miami Dolphins got great value from the Raiders moving up to the third pick in the draft, they just selected the wrong player. Dion Jordan is a great athlete. I just think that he uses that relies on his athleticism way too much. He has almost zero pass rushing moves and he is terrible against the run. While at the University of Oregon, Jordan was not an every down type of player as he saw the field mostly on passing downs. He may rack up a few sacks in his career, but I do not think Jordan will become a good enough player to warrant being taken 3rd overall.