Most people believe the competition is a two-horse race between former first-round draft pick Blaine Gabbert and former Miami Dolphins starter Chad Henne. However, there are two other quarterbacks on the Jaguars roster in former Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots backup Mike Kafka and undrafted rookie Matt Scott. Of those four quarterbacks, I believe that Henne has the least upside which puts his spot on the Jaguars 53-man roster in jeopardy.
We know what Henne is, and as we saw during the second half of the 2012 season it is not very good. Henne’s main competition, Gabbert, is still only 23-years old and still possesses at least some potential to develop into a decent pro quarterback. That upside is why I believe that Gabbert will be the Jaguars opening day starter unless Henne absolutely blows people away in the preseason, which is unlikely if you remember how poorly he played last preseason.
So if Henne is not the hands down starter for the Jaguars, why should they even consider keeping him?
The two other quarterbacks on the Jaguars roster, Kafka and Scott, are also younger and provide the team with more upside than Henne has. The Jaguars have admitted that they are currently rebuilding, so why keep around a guy with no upside as a backup when you can keep around some young guys that could develop. While I doubt Kafka or Scott are franchise quarterbacks, they at least have the potential to develop into a solid backup who could become a fixture on the Jaguars roster.
While people in the national media seem to think Henne is going to be the Jaguars starting quarterback in 2013, I tend to believe that it is more likely that he is not even on the roster when the regular season begins.
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