The arrival of head coach Andy Reid and Alex Smith instantly injected at least a couple wins into the Kansas City Chiefs season win total of 7.5, which has remained stable through the offseason. However, KC’s division title odds have received a major boost in recent weeks thanks to Von Miller‘s suspension and its effect on the Denver Broncos, while the Chiefs have yet to suffer any catastrophic injuries after hearing Jamaal Charles‘ foot will be quite all right.
(The first number is from Aug. 24; the second in parenthesis from roughly three months ago to illustrate the change of perception over the offseason.)
Super Bowl Odds: 50-to-1 (60-to-1)
Division Title Odds: +400 (+650)
Season Win Total Line: 7.5 (7.5)
Late-May Snapshot: “The Chiefs are getting 60-to-1 Super Bowl odds, tied with the division rival San Diego Chargers in that regard. The two are also knotted in AFC West title odds as +650, with the Oakland Raiders far behind at +2000,” I wrote earlier this offseason.
As you can see, Vegas is not taking Kansas City totally serious as Super Bowl contender but their AFC West odds are rising dramatically. This all despite the season win line remaining the same. The Miller six-game suspension must play a huge role in this along with the spate of injuries Denver’s suffered this preseason. Also, many stories are coming out on how easy KC’s regular season schedule is projected to be, making KC a very sleepery division title candidate.
However, even at 50-to-1 it’s hard to even be slightly enticed my the Chiefs’ odds. Smith is a solid quarterback who won’t get in the way of your defense, but still must show he can challenge opponents deep before diving in on anything outside the season win total.