I found it quite interesting that the Minnesota Vikings got 7.5 wins from Vegas this offseason for their 2013 regular-season win total. This is quite a downgrade for a team that made the postseason by knocking off the division champion Green Bay Packers in Week 17. Adrian Peterson is running fresh off perhaps the greatest season by a running back in league history.
But I was actually surprised that Minny’s total was even as high as 7.5; I have them as a sub-6 win team this year. Fantasy experts scream about steering clear of backs who go for nearly 400 carries the year prior yet this is being dismissed completely for Peterson. It just seems odd, even though I understand the logic behind dismissing anything when it comes to Peterson’s limitations. Still feels like one of those, “Oh, we ignored this giant trend” things in retrospect after AD regresses significantly.
A significant regression for Peterson could prove to be a league-leading total like 1,700 yards rushing. The issue in that case is that the Vikes’ needed every Peterson yard and some luck just to sneak into the 2013 playoffs, because they are so much weaker at nearly every other spot in the roster. This is especially true at the quarterback spot with Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel. The Vikes can pick their poison, I guess.
Kevin Williams and Jared Allen are two very arguable Hall of Famers in my book but each has pushed well page age 30 and are showing signs of slowing down. This remains a good line regardless and could become quite scary again depending on Sharif Floyd‘s development, and they must dominate to hide question-mark ridden linebacker and secondary units.
Predicted Regular Season Record: 3-13 (4th in NFC North)
Predicted Finish: Miss postseason