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NFL Week 6 Picks Against The Spread

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Week 6 Picks Against Spread

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY

The NFL spread was once again a winner last week. Big money was being put on the Denver Broncos to cover against the Dallas Cowboys, but Tony Romo was going shot for shot with Peyton Manning and ended up beating the spread. The Oakland Raiders played a game into Monday morning on the East Coast, but it was worth it to take one from the San Diego Chargers. Tom Brady scored six points and lost his 52-game streak with a touchdown pass. Andrew Luck brought his team to a surprise win against one of the best teams in the league in the Seattle Seahawks. Matt Schaub threw another pick-six, but that wasn't all that surprising.

The week starts Thursday with a a game that might have upset written all over it. There is a game that has a historic line on it. There are plenty of good games, and others that look like blowouts. Game-time decisions to players like Calvin Johnson and Darren McFadden could change people's opinions on who is winning those games. Teams that are surprisingly staying in their respective divisions (for example the Arizona Cardinals and the Tennessee Titans) are facing huge tests to show how good they really are. This week can go a number of ways.

Last week, I went right down the middle. I got half of the games 100 percent right, and was completely off on others. When you see I picked the Indianapolis Colts, I look very good. When I put the Atlanta Falcons to win by 10, then I don't look so good. For the season, the record still looks very good. Here are the Week 6 picks against the spread.

Last Week: 7-7

2013 Season: 40-34-2

Nick Villano is the New Jersey Devils writer for Rant Sports. He also adds to their NFL and MLB content. You can follow him on Twitter for more sports notes.

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New York Giants @ Chicago Bears (-8.5)

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Giants are quite possibly the most disappointing team in all of the NFL. They were picked by most analysts as the winner of the NFC East. Somehow, this team is 0-5 and is still only two games back of the Cowboys for the division lead. The Chicago Bears have had a season that is up and down. They are currently 3-2, but have lost two in a row. Chicago will right the ship, but the Giants will cover. New York 20 Chicago 23

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Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) @ New York Jets

Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports

This line makes literally no sense. Las Vegas needs to stop giving Pittsburgh the benefit of the doubt. They are not a good team this season. The Jets have been surprising all season, and clearly still don't have the respect. If Geno Smith can have time to make a decision and they don't turn the ball over an obscene amount, then they will win this game. Pittsburgh Steelers 27 New York Jets 30

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Detroit Lions (-2.5) @ Cleveland Browns

Ron Schwane-USA TODAY Sports

This is another line that seems like Las Vegas is begging for money to come in on the Cleveland Browns. Since trading away Trent Richardson, they have won three in a row. The Detroit Lions could be without Calvin Johnson. They say he is a game-time decision, but they are practicing as if he isn't playing. That fact means you must pick the other way. Detroit 20 Cleveland 21

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Carolina Panthers @ Minnesota Vikings (-2.5)

Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Vikings are in quarterback turmoil. They have three guys, including the recent signing of Josh Freeman, who are vying for first-team snaps. It is going to become the story and the Carolina Panthers are going to sneak in here and take one on the road. Expect a big game from the Steve Smith. Carolina Panthers 30 Minnesota Vikings 14

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Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) @ Buffalo Bills

Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills' starting quarterback was on the practice squad last week. Thad Lewis is going to make the start in relief of the injured E.J. Manuel. The Bengals are coming off a big win against the Patriots. This is clearly a tale of two teams going in opposite directions. Even with a big point total, still go with the Bengals. Cincinnati 27 Buffalo 13

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Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are so very bad. They have talent, so it doesn't make sense. The Philadelphia Eagles defense will actually be able to produce against such an anemic offense. It will be low-scoring seeing how the Bucs secondary is still good, but LeSean McCoy will control the tempo of this game and bring his team a win. Philadelphia 17 Tampa Bay 13

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Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5)

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

The Raiders are coming off a Sunday night (Monday morning even) win against the Chargers. They won with turnovers and clutch play. They are going to need a lot of it to stay with the Chiefs. The question is not will the Kansas City Chiefs win, but actually will they cover? Smart business says they will, especially since they are home to that raucous Arrowhead crowd. Oakland 20 Kansas City 30

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Green Bay Packers (-3.5) @ Baltimore Ravens

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Aaron Rodgers is going up against Joe Flacco. One is elite, one is anything but. The Baltimore Ravens and Packers have both somewhat underachieved this season. These two teams really need a win to stay relevant in their respective conferences. I think the Packers' offense will be too explosive in this game to have Flacco catch up with them. Give them the points as well. Green Bay 37 Baltimore 21

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Tennessee Titans @ Seattle Seahawks (-13.5)

Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports

Playing in Seattle may be the hardest thing to do in all of sports. This is the same stadium that just broke the record for loudest in the world. Ryan Fitzpatrick is going into this stadium with an inadequate offense. Seattle is indeed going to cover the 13.5 points. Expect the defense to get in on the action and return a turnover for a touchdown. Tennessee 13 Seattle 31

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St. Louis Rams @ Houston Texans (-7.5)

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Sam Bradford is bad. Matt Schaub is even worse. Houston Texans coach Gary Kubiak seems to want to keep Schaub's pick-six streak alive because he is still sticking with him as his quarterback despite weeks of bad play. Unless they are playing the Jacksonville Jaguars, there is no way that one can give more than a touchdown to that duo. St. Louis 24 Houston 27

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Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos (-26.5)

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The only time that the Jaguars and historic will be used is this week. The biggest question is, "How long will John Fox use his starters?" Is he going for the kill Bill Belichick style? I think that this Denver Broncos team can win this game by 28 in their sleep. It is going to be an unfortunate event watch this. Jacksonville 10 Denver 40

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New Orleans Saints @ New England Patriots (-2.5)

Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Show me the stat that Drew Brees is 3-0 against the Patriots. Show the stat that he is severely outplaying Brady this season. Show me the stat that shows the New Orleans Saints as the fourth-least scored upon team in the league. None of that matters. The Patriots do not lose two games in a row. That won't change here. They bring the second-best defense in the league per points against and an offense that will most likely welcome back Stevan Ridley. Go with the home team on this one. w Orleans 28 New England 31

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Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-11.5)

Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports

The Cardinals are one team that has been hard to predict. One week they will get demolished, the next week they will win. They are currently 3-2 surprisingly and will take on one of the better teams in the league. The problem is the Cards just aren't good on the road. The only team they beat was the Bucs, and that just isn't an accomplishment this season. It is hard to give a team this many points, but go with the 49ers. Arizona 16 San Francisco 31

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Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (-5.5)

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Tony Romo is coming off his best game ever. Unfortunately, all anyone is talking about is the interception he threw at the end of the game. Robert Griffin III is coming off a bye week where he hopefully got healthier. The Redskins are currently ranked as the worst defense in the league. Romo will bounce back in a big way this game. Washington 22 Cowboys 31

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Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) @ San Diego Chargers

Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports

How good are the Indianapolis Colts? Are they Super Bowl contenders? This game will be a big road test as they are welcomed to San Diego to play the Chargers on Monday Night Football. Home underdogs are scary, especially this bipolar Chargers team. That being said, with only one point, you still have to choose Andrew Luck over Philip Rivers. It will be close, but the Colts will take it. Indianapolis 27 San Diego 24