The Denver Broncos are overrated and very beatable. They are definitely one of the best teams in the NFL, but are often talked about as if they’re some unstoppable force, which they are not. There isn’t a single winning team on Denvers’ list of victories, and sooner or later, their 29th-ranked defense is going to bite them.
I’m betting on sooner as the Indianapolis Colts are the best team they’ve faced, and they matchup very well with the Broncos and their tremendous passing offense. The Colts’ fifth-ranked pass defense is the best they’ve faced, the next best being the 14th-ranked Jacksonville Jaguars. Indy has also surrendered the fewest points by far of any Denver opponent, allowing just 16.3 per game.
Everything is in line for Andrew Luck to outshoot Peyton Manning in this matchup, but he can’t do it by himself. Against the Broncos’ bottom-dwelling pass defense, Luck will have a great opportunity to truly blow up, but his pass-catchers must fix their recent problems with drops. They’ve had eight in their last two games with a few in critical situations in their sloppy loss against the San Diego Chargers on Monday night.
Indy knows how to beat the big boys. They whooped the San Francisco 49ers in their house and beat the Seattle Seahawks at home. If the Colts play the way they’re capable of playing, then they are the favorites in this game. They seem to play up to great competition and lay eggs against the middle of the pack.
With a little help from his supporting cast, I expect Luck to explode on the Broncos. He is at his best with his back against the wall, and facing one of the NFL’s best after an ugly loss will have Luck coming out swinging. It would also help if Jim Irsay could shut his mouth, and stop fueling Manning with his ungrateful comments but regardless, I believe the Colts have the advantage in this contest. The return of (a non-performance enhanced) Von Miller won’t be enough. At home, I think Indy gets their act together, and grabs another big win.
Prediction: Indianapolis over Denver, 34-27.