Looking at the records of the 4-6 San Diego Chargers and the 9-1 Kansas City Chiefs, one might assume their Sunday matchup may not be very competitive, especially considering the Chiefs are at home. But when you look a little closer you see lesser teams have given Kansas City a good game at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs have haven’t faced a winning team at home, yet every opponent has been able to keep within one score late into the game. The Chargers may have a losing record, but they are a solid team and may be the best KC has seen at home. Only one of San Diego’s losses was by more than one score, and two of their victories were against winning teams.
With Philip Rivers back on track, the Chargers are not a team you want to take lightly. Just one game behind the last playoff spot in the AFC, San Diego has everything to play for and should have no lack of motivation.
The matchup is also huge for Kansas City who are currently tied atop the AFC West with the Denver Broncos. One game could be the difference for the division which may be the difference between a No. 1 seed and No. 5 seed in the playoffs. If the second place team in the AFC West turns out to have the second best record in the AFC it won’t matter. They will say bye-bye to a bye and likely to a home game in the playoffs.
The Chiefs can’t afford to have a hangover from their huge primetime loss to Denver in Week 11, nor can they afford to look ahead to their Week 13 matchup with the Broncos. I think Andy Reid is too good of a coach to let that happen. Though Kansas City does like to keep it interesting, they are the better team and are at home. I expect to see a win for the Chiefs, but not necessarily a comfortable one.
Prediction: Kansas City 23, San Diego 17