NFL Week 12 Picks Against The Spread

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NFL Picks Against The Spread

Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports

What is the NFL doing lately? The New York Jets have literally won on alternating weeks for the entire season. The Miami Dolphins have found a way to get through all the controversy to actually win a game against a decent opponent. The Kansas City Chiefs played a hobbled Peyton Manning and did not lay a finger on him. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won two in a row when prior they looked like they had no chance of winning any games this season. The Atlanta Falcons looked like they could win 13 games, and now they look like they are on the verge of drafting Jadeveon Clowney.

My special touch has gone by the wayside. After going nine straight weeks with a winning record picking against the spread, the NFL decided to throw me curveballs two straight weeks. Three games were lost by only half a point. A loss is a loss, and now it is time to bounce back with a big week this week.

Even though this was my worst week, I am still well over .500 on the season. This week is highlighted by the Manning-Tom Brady matchup. The fact that the New England Patriots are getting points at home should show how the people who decide the point spread feel about this Denver Broncos team. The spreads this week were more than interesting. Who knows where to go with the bad team versus bad team matchups. It is hard to make a decision on teams when they have nothing to play for.

Either way we will turn it around this week. Continue to win your office pools, your bets (if you live in a state that allows that kind of thing), and the arguments with your friends thanks to these NFL picks.

Last Week: 5-10

2013 Season: 83-76-2

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New Orleans Saints (-7.5) at Atlanta Falcons

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints are coming into the Georgia Dome in a game that prior to the season would have been guessed to have decided the division. That is not the case. The Falcons are extremely bad, and the Saints are coming off of a survival of the 49ers last week. The only thing that could throw a bone in this is the Thursday night aspect. Even so, the Saints will win in a blowout. New Orleans 41 Atlanta 13

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Chicago Bears at St. Louis Rams (-1.5)

Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports

In a battle of backup quarterbacks, I am more confident in Josh McCown than I am in Kellen Clemens. The Chicago Bears team is much better than the St Louis Rams, even with the big game from Tavon Austin. This game will be closer than some may hope, but the Bears take it at the end. Chicago 23 St Louis 20

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New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)

Kevin Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports

As was said before, the Jets win on alternating weeks. They lost last week which would mean they are due to win this week. The Baltimore Ravens have been playing badly all season. Keep with the trend here, especially with the points. New York 24 Baltimore 20

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (-2.5)

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

This entire division has been awful and confusing. This is a toss up depending on which version of these two teams show up on Sunday. Go with the Browns here just because of the home-field advantage. Pittsburgh 27 Cleveland 31

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-10.5)

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Are the Houston Texans bad enough to not beat the worst team in the league by more than 10? I think they have just enough to get to that number over this completely inept team. Even with Chad Henne at the helm this is still a terrible team. Jacksonville 13 Houston 28

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-9.5)

Jason Bridge-USA TODAY Sports

The Buccaneers are on a two game winning streak while the Lions cannot seem to get out of their own way. Luckily they are coming back home and will hopefully be able to put this bad team into the ground like so many have done before. Tampa Bay 10 Detroit 20

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Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3.5)

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers have been awful since Aaron Rodgers went down with injury, but the Minnesota Vikings are just plain awful. Which one will win out in this? When in doubt, take the points. Minnesota 20 Green Bay 21

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San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5)

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Chiefs found their first loss of the season last week against the Broncos. They are now in what is formally called a trap game. The Chiefs also have the Broncos again next week, but despite last week's result the Chargers are still a good team. They will keep this one close. San Diego 21 Kansas City 24

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Carolina Panthers (-3.5) at Miami Dolphins

Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

The Carolina Panthers are coming off a win which many say may have been because of a missed call. That is the kind of media coverage that will motivate a team like this. They are going against a team that just continues to let their quarterback get annihilated with their two offensive linemen missing due to extenuating circumstances. This is going to be a slaughter. Carolina 40 Miami 20

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Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals (-1.5)

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

How long can the Indianapolis Colts continue to go down to teams just to come back in the end? This is the week where it all ends. The Arizona Cardinals seem to have finally gotten their team together enough to win some games. They have played a relatively tough schedule and are tested enough to know that they can't let a lead get away. Indianapolis 27 Arizona 30

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Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders (-1.5)

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Oakland Raiders are another team that has been up and down all season. The Titans are just down with the season long injury to Jake Locker. Ryan Fitzpatrick is just not capable of keeping this team's head above water. Tennessee 13 Oakland 17

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Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-2.5)

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

This rivalry has lost its luster with both these teams playing so poorly this season. Somehow the New York Giants are back in the division race after losing their first six games. The Dallas Cowboys can't find a way to put a stranglehold on this division, and we have seen this before. The Cowboys are great at playing Weeks 12-15, and that continues here. Dallas 24 New York 23

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Denver Broncos (-3.5) at New England Patriots

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

This is the game that many fans circled coming into the season. Manning and Brady may be the best rivalry in football. The fact that the Broncos are getting more than a field goal on the Patriots' home field is downright crazy. You have to love what the Broncos are doing, but the Patriots have played their entire season to win this one game. Denver 34 New England 35

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San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Too bad Monday Night Football can't flex games because this game should not be on national television. The 49ers are mad at the fact that they are being second guessed, and they will take that out on the Redskins. San Francisco 31 Washington 21