NFL Week 14 Picks Against the Spread

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NFL Picks

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The NFL has brought us another good week after back to back weeks with amazing matchups. Last week saw some Thanksgiving games break up the games nicely. There were some controversies and some games that were very good that probably shouldn't have been.

Nine of the 12 Sunday games were decided by one score. There was a ton of scoring as only three of the NFL's 32 teams scored in single digits while nine teams scored over 30 points. It is safe to say that football was more than fun to watch throughout week 13.

Now we are at week 14. There are only four weeks left in the season. With that fact shows the amazement that there are only two teams in the league (Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers) that have zero chance of making the playoffs today. The Houston Texans have the number one overall pick if the season ended today, but they somehow have an outside shot to make the playoffs. That might show the parody in the league or maybe it shows how top heavy it is, but either way it is a crazy stat.

In other news, the slump is over for yours truly. After three weeks of either even picks or losing pick, we finally have a winning week. Sweeping the Thursday games sure helped. I would like to thank Mike Tomlin for "mistakenly" getting in the way of Jacoby Jones. I would not like to thank the New Orleans Saints for being part of my only really bad pick of the week. It was really nice to finally get win number 100 on the year. Once again, let me win you money.

Without further ado, the week 14 picks against the spread.

Last Week: 10-6

2013 Season: 100-89-2

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Houston Texans (-3.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

My goodness what a terrible Thursday night game. A battle for the No. 1 pick is the only way to sell this one. The Texans played well against the New England Patriots last week. Hopefully they can play off of that.

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Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers (-1.5)

Kevin Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports

Minus Aaron Rodgers, the Green Bay Packers could be the worst team in the NFL. They showed absolutely no effort on Thanksgiving against the Detroit Lions. The Falcons are going to fall into the win. Atlanta 24 Green Bay 13

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Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) @ Washington Redskins

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

It seems like forever since the Kansas City Chiefs were the last team in the NFL to be undefeated. Andy Reid's group has seen three straight losses since they were 9-0. That losing streak will end this week. The Washington Redskins are just too plain bad. Kansas City 31 Washington 17

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Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)

Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

This week has been filled with Mike Tomlin stories and nothing about how the Pittsburgh Steelers lost a pivotal game against the Ravens. The Miami Dolphins will take advantage of the drama finally being on the opposing team. Miami 21 Pittsburgh 17

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Minnesota Vikings @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5)

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Vikings may be bad, but the Baltimore Ravens are too inconsistent to be getting more than a touchdown against anyone. Especially a team that has the best running back in the game on their team. Take the points. Minnesota 17 Baltimore 24

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Cleveland Browns @ New England Patriots (-11.5)

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

This Patriots defense seems like it has some serious holes, especially against the run. Even if they are down, coach Rob Chudzinski may never throw the ball with Brandon Weeden starting at quarterback. He might be going from first round pick to out of the league in two years. A costly turnover will help the Pats cover the spread. Cleveland 13 New England 27

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Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5)

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Indianapolis Colts haven't looked like the same team that beat the Broncos and Seahawks earlier in the season. They are 2-2 in their last four games. Cincinnati on the other hand, has won two in a row after losing two in a row in overtime. This game may very well decide who gets to play the six seed in the first round of the playoffs. If this was a pick-em it would be Cincinnati, but that is a lot of points to give the Colts. Indianapolis 21 Cincinnati 24

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Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

John Geliebter-USA TODAY Sports

This game could quietly be the best game of the weekend. They both have explosive offenses with porous defenses. Especially against the pass, where the Detroit Lions rank 26th and the Philadelphia Eagles rank last in the NFL. This will be the high scoring game of the week, with the Lions taking it late. Detroit 41 Philadelphia 35

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Buffalo Bills @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

In another battle of terrible teams this week, this one is of two teams trending opposite ways. The Buccaneers have won three of 4 and the Buffalo Bills lost four of five. The trend continues as the Bucs take the win at home. Buffalo 21 Tampa Bay 24

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Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets (-2.5)

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Sorry to do two awful games in a row. I promise, they get better after this. Geno Smith is a turnover machine and may lose his job to Matt Simms. The Oakland Raiders are continuing to go with undrafted free agent Matt McGloin as long as they are "competitive, whatever that means for the Raiders. I think the New York Jets win this on defense. Oakland 14 New York 20

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Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos (-12.5)

John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports

We get back to at least one competent team in the Denver Broncos. Peyton Manning responded well to the loss to Tom Brady with a nice win against the Chiefs. He should be on absolute fire against the Titans. Tennessee 20 Denver 34

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Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Something about this game screams "trap game" for the Seahawks. They are still missing a few key players due to injury and suspension. Maybe the lines makers felt the same way when they favored any team against the best in the league. May be a crazy pick, but I'm going with the San Francisco 49ers. Seattle 24 San Francisco 27

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St Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (-6.5)

John Geliebter-USA TODAY Sports

I personally love the Arizona Cardinals, but they have already lost to the St Louis Rams this season. That was when Tavon Austin wasn't being used right. This game won't be lost, but it will be much closer than six. St Louis 24i Arizona 27

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New York Giants @ San Diego Chargers (-3.5)

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Why does it seem like the New York Giants won't just die? Don't all the NFC teams hate that they seem to continue to lurk despite an 0-6 start? This is the game where their run finally ends, thanks to the guy the team originally drafted. New York 16 San Diego 34

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Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

This is now the battle for a bye in the Wildcard playoffs. If the Carolina Panthers cannot sweep the Saints, then they need to rely on the Bucs and the Falcons to beat them. Even still, the Saints will come off a bad loss and a short week and still keep their home record perfect. Carolina 31 New Orleans 35

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Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears (-1.5)

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

In a fascinating game, the Dallas Cowboys need this game. The Eagles are taking on a tough matchup with the Lions and the Cowboys could take first place against the Josh McCown led Chicago Bears. This one will go to the visiting team on Monday Night Football. Dallas 31 Chicago 21