NFL Week 16 Picks Against The Spread

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Week 16 Picks Against The Spread

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

We are so close to the end of the season that we can smell it, but we still have some unfinished business before the regular season turns into the postseason.

There are currently six teams that are not in the playoffs that are still eligible. The AFC playoff picture is still hazy. The Denver Broncos cannot be tied with the New England Patriots because of their head-to-head record. If the Broncos do tie, then the Patriots would obtain the no. 1 seed. The same goes for the Patriots and the Cincinnati Bengals since the latter beat the former. The Bengals are actually tied with the Indianapolis Colts for that third seed, while the Baltimore Ravens still have a theoretical shot to win the division.

In the NFC, it comes down to head-to-head matchups. The Arizona Cardinals play the San Francisco 49ers in Week 17, which could determine the no. 6 seed. The Carolina Panthers play the New Orleans Saints this week to basically decide the NFC South. The Dallas Cowboys play the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 17 to decide the NFC East if they both win. The Green Bay Packers play the Chicago Bears in that same week to possibly decide the NFC North.

As you can see, it is wide open. My picks have been more consistent than these playoff races. With another week where I barely stay over .500, I now add a few more wins to the resume. Enjoy a few more wins while you can still get them. These are the Week 16 picks against the spread.

Last Week: 9-7

2013 Season: 118-103-2

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New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (-3.5)


In what is probably the most anticipated matchup of the week, the Saints and the Panthers will decide who gets the second seed (barring an upset in Week 17) and win the NFC South. Although it was a blowout in Week 14, the Saints just aren't as good on the road. New Orleans 31 -- Carolina 37

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Minnesota Vikings @ Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

Which Matt Cassel will decide to show up in this game? That may be a key to how this game plays out. Either way, a motivated Adrian Peterson returns this week, and that is bad news for the Bengals. They won't lose, but they will have to play to the end. Minnesota 20 -- Cincinnati 21

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Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) @ Washington Redskins

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The Cowboys are looking like that same old December team, but this Washington Redskins team is just a mess. They generate more negative national headlines every week than they have wins in the season. Dallas will win comfortably. Dallas 31 -- Washington 12

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Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

This Colts team has made no sense all season. They have been labeled as Super Bowl contenders and worthless at different points in the season. However, they aren't bad enough to be given over a touchdown to a team that has struggled against decent competition. Indianapolis 17 -- Kansas City 24

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ St Louis Rams (-5.5)

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Rams love to play spoiler, but how will they play when they don't even have that to play for? The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have less to play for than the Rams besides maybe their coaches' jobs. I still think this will be a hefty win. Tampa Bay 13 -- St Louis 27

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Denver Broncos (-10.5) @ Houston Texans

Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports

This is a mismatch of epic proportions. The Broncos have too much to play for to even let the Houston Texans smell a lead. The record and the win, go to Peyton Manning. Denver 41 -- Houston 20

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Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets (-2.5)

Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

Probably the worst matchup of the weekend will be at MetLife Stadium. Both these teams can be very bad. Pick the New York Jets because Geno Smith is playing for his life. Cleveland 17 -- New York 20

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Miami Dolphins (-3.5) @ Buffalo Bills

Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins will be playing for their playoff lives once again. The Buffalo Bills have nothing to play for once again. This one goes to the away team. Miami 31 -- Buffalo 17

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Tennessee Titans (-5.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars have figured out they are bad once again. That is all you need to know in this game. Tennessee 29 -- Jacksonville 10

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New York Giants @ Detroit Lions (-9.5)

Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions take on the New York giants with their entire season on the line. Eli manning has been terrible all season, and that won't change. Give the points. New York 17 -- Detroit 41

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Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks (-10.5)

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Where is the love for the Cardinals? I get it, the Seattle Seahawks are very good, but double-digit points against a very good team? This is too many, especially since I think the Cards will come away with an upset victory. The Hawks just don't have as much of a motivation in these next two weeks. Arizona 31 -- Seattle 27

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Oakland Raiders @ San Diego Chargers (-10.5)

Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports

Remember when Terrelle Pryor made the Oakland Raiders watchable? Yeah, me neither. Oakland 12 -- San Diego 41

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New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)

Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports

The Patriots and Tom Brady don't have the best record in Baltimore, but they do have a great record coming off losses. They can't afford to give Cincinnati another chance to get the second seed. This will be another classic. New England 21 -- Baltimore 20

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Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) @ Green Bay Packers

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports\

Every week, there will be a line that makes you scratch your head. This is that line in Week 16. How are the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are out of it, getting points on the road against a Packers team that is still alive? Maybe Las Vegas doesn't want to hurt their chances of getting votes for Matt Flynn. Pittsburgh 21 -- Green Bay 24

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Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5)

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

The status of the Dallas game has a lot to do with how this game will go. Since I believe this game will be backup-heavy for the Eagles, I am giving it to the Bears. Chicago 20 -- Philadelphia 17

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Atlanta Falcons @ San Francisco 49ers (-12.5)

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

How good did this game look before the season? Take all of the points you can here -- it is going to be a slaughter. Atlanta 20 -- San Francisco 37