Wes Welker should be wary now that he is facing his former team again, as they may be targeting to stop him. He hasn't had the best season, not even coming close to 1000 yards; he has also had concussion trouble. He only gained 38 yards last week, even with the touchdown, and this week will be no better against his former team.
This is very bold with the most recent announcement of Chris Harris being out for the Broncos secondary, but I still think that both the QBs will throw at least two picks. Manning will have trouble with Aqib Talib, Alfonzo Dennard, Logan Ryan and Kyle Arrington as the fearsome foursome for the Pats. Brady will have two passes tipped by some of his young receivers that end up in the hands of the Broncos.
Shane Vereen is an afterthought after LeGarrette Blount's big performance, but he could be the Patriots' best weapon right now. The dual threat running back is a great receiver, which will lead to an easy red zone touchdown. I think the running score will come on a big play for the speedster.
These two QBs known how to keep themselves off the ground. Von Miller was a beast in their first matchup, but he is nowhere to be found in this game. It is unprecedented to have a game with no sacks, but with both these two offensive lines, I think it can happen. Manning was not sacked at all last week, and only Brady saw the ground twice.
This may be my most bold prediction, but there is some confidence in it. This game will not have the fumbles that halted the Pats' running game in their last matchup. They had four with their last two games with Moreno, Montee Ball, Blount and Stevan Ridley. I could see Vereen or Brandon Bolden sneaking in there to keep the Broncos' defense on their toes.
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is finally healthy and helping the Broncos make it to the AFC Championship Game. However, that will not last long, as he will end up coming up limp after the intersecting routes of the Patriots causes him to pull a hamstring, or something worse.
I have heard too many stats in regards to this game. Brady's record, when he is more than a four point underdog, is this. Manning, at home against Brady, is this. Brady against Manning when his running back does a cartwheel is this. There is just too much to keep track of. Something easy to see is that these two players will not quit. Ever. The fight will go down until either Matt Prater or Stephen Gostowski has to end it for their team.
Between the two teams having competent running backs and both coaches trying to control the clock, these two teams will have a shootout on the ground (Is it still a shootout on the ground?). You saw last week that neither QB has to throw for a ton of yards to take over the game. Both men were under 300 yards, but made plays when it mattered. Look for that again.
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