Why Home-Field Advantage Won't Matter In NFL Conference Championship Games

By Michael Dobreski
Mile High
Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos are both playing at home and are both favored to win their Conference Championship games. Do the San Francisco 49ers and New England Patriots even have a shot?

Recent history tells us that the Seahawks and Broncos better hold off on their travel plans to New York. The Broncos and Seahawks are very talented teams, but if they are planning on using their home-field advantage as a crutch, they could be in for some trouble.

The Seahawks could definitely be vulnerable since they are so closely linked to their home-field advantage and the 12th man. Could it backfire against a team like the Niners, who is used to playing there and might be the hottest team left in the playoffs? The Patriots have discovered a running game and they still have a guy named Tom Brady. This will be Brady’s fourth AFC title game on the road. He and the Patriots have a 2-1 record.

Historically speaking in the last 32 Conference Championship games, the home team is just 17-15, not exactly a huge advantage. Last year saw both road teams winning the Conference Championship games and heading to the Super Bowl, one of them being the Jim Harbaugh-led 49ers. The Niners are in their third straight NFC title game. They are 1-1 with their only loss coming at home. They are also 2-0 on the road in this year’s playoffs.

Forget home-field advantage. It comes down to who is playing the best right now. Look for the Patriots and 49ers to pull the “upset” and meet up in New York with the Super Bowl on the line.

Predictions: Patriots 28 — Broncos 24, 49ers 21 — Seahawks 17

Michael Dobreski is a Boston Red Sox writer for RantSports.com. He also contributes  articles on the NFL and College Football. Follow him on Twitter.

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