2014 Super Bowl: 20 Prop Bets And How You Should Bet
2014 Super Bowl: 20 Prop Bets for Big Game
The 2014 Super Bowl, the culmination of the 2013 NFL season, will go down in just a couple of days. Actually, you could rightfully start counting down by the hours at this point. However you want to countdown to it, though, in a short period of time almost everyone in the country is going to be near a television watching the Denver Broncos take on the Seattle Seahawks.
It’s been a bit of a crazy ride—as it always seems to be—to get to this point, but these are pretty much the two teams that we saw making it this far from pretty early in the regular season. Peyton Manning has been the quarterback of destiny and record-breaking lore, Russell Wilson has continued successfully into his second year and so on.
One of the interesting things about this Super Bowl in particular, though, is how much attention is being paid to stuff that doesn’t totally pertain to anything that’s going to have an effect on the actual game. People are still focusing on Richard Sherman (still) for his comments after the NFC Championship, people are focusing on Marshawn Lynch’s antics at media day, and people are focusing on boatloads of other things that aren’t going to matter a bit after kickoff.
In light of the likely great football game that we’re going to see and the off-the-field nonsense that’s been going on lately, it’s obviously time to talk prop bets. Between Bovada and Sportsbook.com, just about anything that you could want to bet on that happens on Super Bowl day is covered. As someone who would enjoy gambling if it were legal where I live, here are 20 prop bets that I find intriguing and how I would bet (once again, if it were legal where I live).
1. What Will Bruno Mars Be Wearing on Head at Start of Halftime Show?
Bruno Mars’ trademark fedora clocks in at the most likely option at even odds with fur hat (+700), a tuque (+500) and no hat (+150) completing the choices that you can bet on. While fedora is rightfully the best option, I would put my money on no hat. You stand to make a little more money with that bet and Mars did appear at the Grammys without a hat on.
2. Over/Under 1.5 Rushing Attempts for Peyton Manning (Over +150, Under -185)
Russell Wilson is obviously the bigger rushing threat between the two quarterbacks in this game, but 1.5 rushing attempts seems like a bet to get suckers to take the under thinking that Peyton Manning doesn’t run. However, Peyton could have to scramble on one play. Then, imagine that the Broncos are up in the closing minutes; they’re going to take a knee right? That counts as a rushing attempt, putting him at two. Take the over.
3. Will Knowshon Moreno Cry During National Anthem? (Yes +200, No -300)
Everyone started talking about Broncos running back Knowshon Moreno crying during the National Anthem a few weeks back. Of course, that’s now been translated to a prop bet. If I had to guess, Moreno is going to be a bit riled up for this game to even fully hear the anthem this go around. The payout isn’t going to be near as big, but take no here.
4. Will the Announcers Say the Word “Marijuana” During Game? (Yes +325, No -550)
One of the interesting subplots for the Super Bowl this year is the fact that it’s between teams from two states that have legalized marijuana use. The question that remains, though, is whether the announce team will bring that up clearly or coyly toy with the idea. For me, it’s worth the risk to say that Joe Buck and Troy Aikman will say “marijuana” at least once.
5. Super Bowl MVP
Manning (+110), Lynch (+450), and Wilson (+360) are the only guys with better than 10/1 odds for this game and, just given how this voting tends to take place, that’s not a bad call by bookmakers. Having said that, look out for Doug Baldwin at 40/1 as an interesting pick. Not only is he a big-play receiver that can swing a game, but he’s also a factor on special teams. If you’re looking to potentially win big, lay some cash on Baldwin.
6. Higher Total: LeBron James Points vs. Knicks (-115) or Seahawks (-115)
The cross-sport props tend to get convoluted from time to time, but this one’s pretty simple. You have the Seahawks, a defensive team that averaged 26.1 points per game in the regular season, against reigning NBA MVP LeBron James. In the first game against the Knicks, LeBron put up 32 points. Considering that just two teams over the past decade of Super Bowls have scored 32 or more points, take LeBron.
7. Number of Times Peyton Says “Omaha” During Game Over (Even)/Under (-140) 28.5
There’s the chance that Peyton could change the “Omaha” audible after the sensation it created on social media, but I think it’s almost like a tic for him at this point. Omaha x 29 (or more) for the over.
8. What Color Gatorade (Or Liquid) Will Be Dumped on Winning Coach?
Sportsbook got a bit creative with this prop bet due to an outdoor, cold-weather Super Bowl. While there are the normal options of no bath (Even), red (+750), yellow (+350), lime green (+1000), blue (+750), orange (+450) and water (+200) are all there, so are chicken broth and hot chocolate both coming in at +5000. That’s not going to happen, though. Go orange, a sneaky common color for sideline Gatorade.
9. Julius Thomas Receiving Yards, Over (-115)/Under (-115) 55.5 Yards
While Julius Thomas has emerged as a key player for Denver this season, the Seahawks are stingy against tight ends which Jimmy Graham can attest to. While 55.5 yards is attainable for Thomas, the under is the most enticing of the two options.
10. Total Field Goals Made in Game, Over (-150)/Under (+120) 1.5
With a defense like the Seahawks and two hot kickers between Matt Prater and Steven Hauschka, there’s no way that they don’t at least kick a field goal apiece. The over isn’t great odds, but it’s basically free money at this point.
11. Doug Baldwin’s Longest Reception, Over (-115)/Under (-115) 20.5 Yards
Compounding on Doug Baldwin for Super Bowl MVP, he’s going to need big receiving plays to make that happen, which is basically what he does for this team. Not only am I taking the over, but a parlay between Baldwin as MVP and the over would pay out $7,565.22 on a $100 bet. Enticing to say the least.
12. Russell Wilson Total Touchdown Passes, Over (+200)/Under (-260) 2
The Broncos are still one of the best teams in the league at stopping the run, which they showed in the AFC Championship Game. Given that, it’s hard to see the Seahawks winning without Wilson having a nice game throwing the ball. There are two lines for each quarterback in terms of passing touchdown over/under, but I like over two because it seems strongly possible and pays out a little bit more.
13. Marshawn Lynch Total Rushing Yards, Over (-135)/Under (+105) 90.5
Playing off the Broncos’ rushing defense once again, I’m not sure that Lynch is going to be able to have his normal amount of success on Sunday. I hate to ever bet against “Beast Mode,” but I think I’m going for the under here.
14. Peyton Manning Total Passing TDs, Over (-260)/Under (+200) 1.5
This has been Peyton’s year and it seems like destiny for him to come out in the big game and have, well, a big game. However, that vastly underrates the Seahawks’ pass defense to think like that. It wouldn’t surprise me if Manning hands the ball off a little more than normal here and goes under 1.5 touchdowns on the day.
15. Who Will Super Bowl MVP Thank First?
This all depends on who you believe the MVP is going to be. If it’s Manning, you have to go teammates (+150). If it’s Wilson, I think you have to look at God (+120). After that, I’m not sure where to go. Given that Wilson probably has to perform well for his team to win, which could mean an MVP, I’d go God as the safe pick here.
16. Will Richard Sherman Get a Taunting Penalty? (Yes +400, No -700)
Taunting penalties are rare, but so are players with the intensity of Sherman. While I’ll defend his post-NFC Championship interview forever and disagree with a lot of the negative labels placed upon him, seeing Sherman get caught up in the moment of the Super Bowl and showboating a bit too much seems like a nice way to make some money.
17. Largest Lead of Game, Over (-160)/Under (+130) 13.5 Points
One of the things that’s been true in recent Super Bowls is that there have been big-ish leads and then comebacks. Given that, seeing a team go up by two touchdowns isn’t far-fetched by any stretch. By that measure, go over 13.5 points on this one.
18. Jersey Number of Player to Score First Touchdown, Over (-125)/Under (-105) 79.5
With Manning throwing the ball and Wilson likely doing the same, taking over is pretty enticing here. As silly as this sounds, though, Percy Harvin wearing number 11 really makes me wary. Between that, Lynch and Moreno, I’m going under here.
19. Will Percy Harvin Be Injured in Game? (Yes +300, No -500)
This one is simply based off of hope and not much else, but I want to see Harvin healthy and succeeding on the game’s biggest stage. He’ll stay healthy.
20. Will Any Member of Red Hot Chili Peppers Perform Shirtless (Yes -150, No +110)
Forget all of this football talk, though, let’s get back to things that really matter, like will Anthony Kiedis, Flea, or another member of the Red Hot Chili Peppers not have a shirt on during their performance? Let’s be honest, this is an easy one to end on. Let it all hang out like usual, Flea.