Taking guesses on how many touchdowns players in the NFL will score in the upcoming season is a tough thing to do. I’m not going to go completely crazy and try to do this with a ton of players across multiple teams, but instead I’m just going to look at the big four on the Dallas Cowboys.
This will include Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten.
For starters, let’s take a look at what these players did last season. Romo tossed 31 touchdowns in 15 games, Murray had nine touchdowns in 14 games, Bryant had 13 touchdowns in a full 16 games and Witten had eight touchdowns in a full 16 games.
To predict 2014 though, it’s important to note that the addition of offensive coordinator Scott Linehan should actually affect each of these players directly, as he not only loves to air it out, but loves to get the ball to running backs in space. For this prediction, I’m only counting Murray’s rushing touchdowns.
For Romo, I believe he sticks right around 31 touchdowns; but if I had to take a bet on the over/under at 31, I’d take the over. Factoring in that he missed a game in 2013, plus the fact that he’ll throw it more with Linehan calling plays, I think we’ll see him end around 33 or 34 touchdowns.
Murray, on the other hand, is likely going to see his rushing touchdowns go down a bit, but I think his overall TDs go up. I’ll look at him to score around seven or eight rushing touchdowns, and while I’m not factoring this into the guesses, I’d assume he’ll have 2-3 three receiving touchdowns on top of that.
Now for Bryant and Witten. These two should benefit in a big way from Linehan calling plays, but I think Bryant will end up as the biggest beneficiary of the situation. I’m taking Bryant to score 15 touchdowns and rank right near the top of the league in 2014. For Witten, an increase on his eight just isn’t realistic in my opinion, although I do think that he’ll get six touchdowns. He will have a whole lot of receptions and quite a few receiving yards to go along with that.