This morning, NFL Network analyst Albert Breer went on the Toucher and Rich radio show to discuss Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. By the conclusion of that interview, several intriguing things were revealed about the potential timelines of Brady and Belichick with the New England Patriots.
Perhaps the most revealing thing came when Breer said, “One of the things that he’d (meaning Belichick) like to prove he can do is win a Super Bowl without having the benefit of having one of the best quarterbacks of all-time.” Breer even went on to say that Belichick will outlast Brady in Foxboro.
Assuming that these comments came from Bill himself, or at least someone close to him, they are some very revealing statements about Brady’s future potentially. Bill has said that he does not want to coach at 70 years old like Marv Levy did. This has caused people who cover the team to think that Brady and Belichick could both leave at the same time.
If Belichick (who is now 62 years old) wants to win at least one championship without Brady, it likely won’t be for two more years given the bonus money in Brady’s contract and the way the roster is constructed. With that said, the likelihood of Brady retiring in New England is zero if Bill were to outlast him and want to win without him as Breer claims. Belichick wants to stay in New England, so it’s not like he would coach anywhere else to win.
If Brady wants to play until 40 years old, which he has said in the past, that would make Bill 66 years of age. Assuming that the next guy steps in immediately and takes over for Brady, it would leave Belichick only four years to win a title before turning 70 years old. Add that to the Levy comments Bill has made in the past, and he may consider retirement around this time.
The likelihood of the team stepping in and winning a title within four years with a rookie QB is probably a long shot as well. It happened with Brady, but as we know, those teams had incredible defenses, and Brady is of course, one of the best of all-time. Jimmy Garoppolo may not be that guy. That is why I believe Brady will not play out the entire length of his contract with the Patriots.
The team may be more inclined to trade Brady (if Belichick truly wants to win one without him) for a king’s ransom in the next two to three years, thereby adding pieces on both sides of the ball to help the next young QB contend.
Ultimately, Belichick’s philosophy is to trade or cut a guy a year too early rather than too late as we have seen with Richard Seymour, Mike Vrabel, Lawyer Milloy, Deion Branch, Ty Law, Wes Welker, etc. None of these players are Brady-caliber, but the strategy is the same. Patriots fans can take solace in the fact that Brady will be in NE in the very short term, but in the next few years, the Brady Era could come to an abrupt end.