Predicting the Final Score of Chiefs vs. Bills
By Aaron Charles
@aaroncharleskc
Getty Images
Sunday’s contest between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills is a tough one to predict. The teams have a lot of similarities. Both have high-powered defenses with conservative offenses, and neither team gets the respect they deserve. Both are also legitimate playoff contenders with records of 5-3.
The Bills have a few advantages coming into the game. They’re at home, and will be fresh from their bye week. Buffalo is second in the league with 18 takeaways, but Kansas City has only turned the ball over twice in their last five games. A big advantage will go to whichever team wins that battle.
The Bills are first in the league with 3.5 sacks per game, but the Chiefs lead the league in sacks per defensive snap with 27 sacks in 476 defensive plays. This game is going to be filled with big plays on defense.
The Chiefs are the better offensive team. Though they don’t shoot for a lot of big plays, they’re pretty potent considering their conservative style. Kansas City is second in the NFL in third down conversions, converting 51.89 percent compared to Buffalo’s mark of 35.71 percent.
The Chiefs also have an advantage in the field position game with a stronger special teams unit. The Bills’ return game is in the middle of the pack, while Kansas City is fourth and fifth respectively in kick return average (27.7) and punt return average (12.5). Furthermore, Dustin Colquitt has pinned the ball inside the 20-yard-line in 18 of his 32 punts, which is the best ratio in the league.
This game could go either way. The Bills will be rested and at home, but the Chiefs are the more well-rounded team, and they don’t seem to mind playing on the road. For those reasons, I’ll give Kansas City a slight edge.
Prediction: Chiefs 24, Bills 20
Aaron Charles is a Kansas City Chiefs writer for www.rantsports.com. Follow him on twitter @aaroncharleskc or add him to your network on Google
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