It’s not officially summer yet, and the 2016 NFL Season is still just under three months away which means we as football fans are desperate for any type of NFL news at this point.
That brings us to Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and some interesting comments he made today at the team’s minicamp.
How does Ben feel about going for two?https://t.co/8kG9qskfhj
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) June 14, 2016
On the surface, this seems like a ridiculous idea, but when you actually look at the numbers, Roethlisberger might be onto something.
Last season, NFL kickers combined to make 94.2 percent of their extra points after they were moved back to the 15-yard-line. That number puts the expected points at .942 per kick.
NFL teams converted a combined 45-0f-93 two-point conversion attempts in 2015 which was good for 48.3 percent success rate. If you times that number by two, because a team gets two points for a successful conversion, that would give you an expected point value of .966 which is .024 higher than kicking an extra point.
Let’s not stop there. The Steelers went for two more than any other team in 2015 and they converted 72 percent of their attempts. That gives them an expected point value of 1.44 points per two-point conversion as opposed to the .96 from extra points from their kickers. I’d say that’s a pretty significant difference.