Prince Fielder Will Be A Fantasy Baseball Bust In 2016

For his first eight full MLB seasons, few if any players were as durable as Prince Fielder. That changed in 2014, his first season with the Texas Rangers, with a neck injury limiting Fielder to just 42 games and 150 at-bats. But his health returned last season (158 games, 613 at-bats), and so did Fielder’s previous production for the most part (.305, 23 home runs and 98 RBIs) on his way to earning American League Comeback Player of the Year.

Fielder hit over .300 in each of the season’s first three months last year, with a very good May (.377, nine home runs, 28 RBIs, 1.085 OPS) as the highlight. But he slowly faded over the course of the season, with a .264 batting average post-All Star break and just eight home runs over 227 at-bats from Aug. 1 on.

Over the last two seasons, even taking into account 2014’s small sample, Fielder hit more ground balls than he ever has in is career. After posting a 50 percent ground ball rate in 2014, 46 percent of Fielder’s batted balls were grounders last season. That is not a good trend for a power hitter, especially one like Fielder whose fantasy value strictly hinges on his power production.

Fielder only played 18 games at first base in 2015, so he may now only be eligible as a designated hitter in a lot of fantasy baseball leagues. That further hurts his value, though primarily being a DH should help Fielder stay in the lineup regularly.

Fielder’s physical build always defied odds when he consistently played around 160 games every season. But now approaching 32 years old durability concerns will remain in the background, and it’s possible his late fade last year can be blamed on some sort of minor ailment.

Even without position utility and with the likelihood his batting average drops below .300 this year (.323 BABIP in 2015), Fielder’s power potential makes him draftable in mixed leagues. But there’s a lot of downside potential too, and with a late pick or auction dollars dwindling, I’d rather have someone who offers more all-around potential.

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