NBA Top Plays for Wednesday, March 15th

By Will Colello

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Point Guard

Kemba Walker $16,850

Kemba has been on fire lately! He is one of the streakier shooters in the league and you can see an obvious difference in his demeanor when his shot is falling. This match-up with the Pacers is a pretty good one as they have struggled mightily over the last 60 days. Jeff Teague is a pretty good individual defender, but the Pacers play fast and point guards will always excel in that style. Walker is fairly priced on DraftDay and makes for a great play in both cash games and tournaments. With so many options on the board, you may be able to get Kemba under 15% owned.

Patty Mills $8,050

Both Tony Parker and Dejounte Murray are questionable with injuries, which could lead to Mills being a must play on DraftDay. Parker and Murray were both out last game, which turned into a fantastic game for Mills, finishing with 15 points, 9 assists, and 35 fantasy points. This pick is contingent on these guys being out, so make sure to keep an eye out for the news article later in the day. If Parker and Murray do sit, Mills becomes one of the better options on the slate. Damian Lillard and the Blazers have been horrible against PG’s, allowing over 48 fantasy points per game to the position. Mills is also a pretty good PG defender, so I could see him matching up with Lillard down the stretch. If Parker and Murray are ruled out, Mills is great everywhere.

Shooting Guard

Devin Booker $12,700

One of the best shooters in the league facing the Kings in the middle of a hot streak? Yes, please. Booker has been shooting the ball well lately and that is something you love to see out of a guy who is known as one of the streakiest shooters in basketball. The match-up with the Kings is pristine as they have given up the 2nd most fantasy points per minute to SGs behind the Nets. A mixture of Aaron Afflalo, Ben McLemore, and Garrett Temple will cover Booker and none of them have much of a chance. His price is also extremely low on DraftDay, sitting at just 12.7k. He only needs about 30 to hit value. He will get open shots at will and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a monster game if it’s falling. Even if he somehow goes cold here, I think he has the safety in cash games due to his ability to rack up peripherals lately. Booker is a top option at SG and makes sense in all formats.

Jeremy Lamb $6,000

Lamb took the starting spot for an injured Batum last time out and had a very nice game, finishing with 26 points and 35 fantasy points. Lamb was EXTREMELY chalky (50%ish on DD) two nights ago and considering he came through, expect more of the same. Lamb is a very good DFS player as he gets himself involved on offense and makes sure he gets a good amount of shots each game. Kemba Walker also fully trusts him, which is very necessary with Lamb joining the starting lineup. The Pacers haven’t been great against SG’s, allowing close to 44 FP per game. This is mostly due to Monta Ellis and his inept defense. Lamb can be targeted in all formats and makes for an extremely safe option if Batum is ruled out.

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Small Forward

Kawhi Leonard $16,150

Kawhi Leonard surprised the DFS world and ended up playing last game. He had a pretty average game with 40 fantasy points against the Hawks on 31 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. Portland is one of the better possible match-ups for Leonard, as they have struggled mightily to cover athletic perimeter players. Leonard has been an absolute monster as of late, finishing with 50 fantasy points in 4 of the last 6 games. Small forward is actually pretty weak on this slate, with only a few reliable options at the position. The Blazers are a fast-paced team and huge a bump up for the Spurs, ranking 7th in the league in PACE. Leonard is an extremely safe cash game option and has a ton of tournament upside. He also gets a bump up if Tony Parker and Murray are out as he could see the backup PG minutes as well.

Harrison Barnes $12,300

The case for Barnes is pretty cut & dry. He’s one of the only real scorers on a slow Mavericks team that is facing off with one of the faster teams in the league in the Wizards. This should result in an uptick in PACE for the Mavs, who could use it. Barnes has been sitting around 25-30 FP per game with Dirk hot and shooting a ton. He will likely regain the leading scorer role sometime soon and go back to his 30-40 fantasy point games. Otto Porter Jr. is a pretty solid defender but so is everybody else on this team and they still give up a ton. You can only be such a good defender when John Wall takes off, turns it over and leaves your guy 60 feet away from you wide open. The Wizards have given up the 3rd most transition 3’s in basketball, which speaks to the possibility of Barnes having a big night.

Power Forward

Blake Griffin $16,800

This is a big slate with only a few good options to pay up for on DraftDay, with Blake Griffin certainly being one of them. With so many value options available at PF, I could easily see his ownership falling below 20%. That is a huge mistake against the Bucks, who are absolutely atrocious against big men. Griffin has shown his upside recently as well, hitting 65 fantasy points just 2 weeks ago. The Bucks are also one of the better teams in the league against PG’s, so some of the action could be funneled towards Griffin, who is the only other starter that can create his own shot. Griffin will match-up with the likes of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Thon Maker, who are both far too skinny to contain Griffin on offense. He can be played everywhere though you may be able to spend up in tournaments for better upside elsewhere, especially considering the opportunity cost of fading 2 cheap PF’s.

Willie Cauley-Stein $9,600

Willie Cauley-Stein has been excellent since Cousins left, often sitting around 30 fantasy points and crushing value. He has had a few duds, but one was a blowout and one was foul trouble. You can safely lock WCS in for 32 minutes if he stays out of foul trouble, as the Kings just don’t have any other option. Anthony Tolliver has finally started getting his minutes taken away as they realize he has no place in future plans. WCS is a big part of what the Kings plan to do in the future and they will make sure he continues to get work. He will match-up with Alan Williams and Marquese Chriss for most of the game and they are both pretty easy match-ups. Williams is a big body but lacks the footwork and agility to stay with an athletic monster like Cauley-Stein. He is a very solid cash game option and has plenty of upside at his price in tournaments.

Center

Alan Williams $11,000

If you want to talk about consistency, take a look at this guys box scores. With over 25 fantasy points in 8 of his last 9 contests, he hits value on a consistent basis. He gets one of his better match-ups yet, facing off with Kosta Koufos and the Kings. Williams will see most of his minutes against Koufos and Willie Cauley-Stein who aren’t nearly strong enough to stick with Williams in the paint. WCS will definitely bully him around on offense with his speed, but Williams will make sure to return the favor with his shoulder. You can lock him in for a double-double here and the upside for 50 fantasy points is going to be there every time he takes the floor. If the Suns decide to stretch him out for a game due to necessity, he could go absolutely crazy. All in all, Williams is one of the safer options on the board and you can play him anywhere and everywhere.

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