It is pretty simple if the Arkansas Razorbacks want to make the NCAA tournament. If they win the SEC tournament, then they are in. Since that won’t likely happen, Arkansas is really going to have to do something special in the conference tourney.
Arkansas has bubble written all over it, but it is definitely on the wrong side of that bubble at the moment.
The Razorbacks had a very tough out-of-conference schedule, which is cool and all, if you win some of the tougher games. Arkansas did not achieve that. This team played Arizona State, Wisconsin, Syracuse, Oklahoma and Michigan. The only team that the Razorbacks managed to beat was the Sooners, who is currently another bubble team.
However, the Razorbacks did pull off some very impressive wins in conference play against Kentucky, Florida, Missouri and Tennessee. It also just got done closing out the regular season with a victory against the Texas A&M Aggies. The only problem is none of that is good enough and the computer rankings would agree.
Arkansas is currently ranked No. 77 in the RPI and No. 78 in the BPI. There are so many bubble teams ahead of the Razorbacks in the computer rankings, which isn’t everything, but they do say a lot.
So it comes down to this: Arkansas needs to win the SEC tournament. That shouldn’t be hard at all, considering that this team will likely be the No. 7 seed in the conference tournament, there are plenty of hungry SEC bubble teams fighting for a tournament bid and the Florida Gators are in this conference–despite the loss to Kentucky today, Florida is still one of the best teams in the country.
With all of that said, things are obviously not looking good for the Razorbacks, but maybe the tournament committee will reason with them if they beat some other bubble teams in the tourney and make a really deep run. That saying “only time will tell” is definitely the case for Arkansas.