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10 Lower Seeds That Can Pull off a Second Round Upset in the NCAA Tournament

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10 Upsets Bound to Happen in the Second Round

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA Today Sports

Every year in college basketball upsets happen. It is just part of the game, especially at the college level where there is so much evenly distributed talent on each team and sometimes the experienced team beats the more talented team.

This year, there have been more upsets in total, then I can remember in any other season. You know what that means, more upsets are coming when the NCAA tournament kicks off.

There will be upsets every year in March Madness, but you never know how many will occur. Sometimes there are only one to two big time first round upsets and other times there are six or seven. You never know what will happen and that is the beauty of college basketball.

Never has a 16 seed upset a 1 seed, but a 15 seed has upset a 2 seed, in fact, that occurred twice last tournament.

Over the years the most common first round (second round) upsets have been the 12 seed over a 5 seed. Another common upset is the 11 seed over the 6, but the 12 over 5 upset seems to happen more.

Every now and then you will see a 14 over 3 upset or a 13 over 4 upset and those are true upsets I feel.

Although this is the top 10 lower seeds that can win their second round match-up, I’m not going to put any 9 over 8 games because those just aren’t really upsets to me. Those could be the top 4 most common lower seeds picked every year.

It is getting to crunch time with filling out your bracket and every person needs that second round upset that can separate themselves from others so here you have my top 10 most likely lower seeds to advance to the third round.

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10: (15) Florida Gulf Coast over (2) Georgetown

John David Mercer-USA Today Sports

Last NCAA tournament, two 15 seeds upset a 2 seed. With that being said, why can’t it happen again? If it does, I feel it will be Florida Gulf Coast over Georgetown. FGCU already beat Miami (FL) this season who is also a two seed even though that was an injured Hurricanes team, it still shows the ability of Florida Gulf Coast. Sherwood Brown, Bernard Thompson and Chase Fieler all average double figures for a high scoring Eagles team.

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9: (13) South Dakota State over (4) Michigan

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA Today Sports

Nate Wolters, in my opinion is a top five player in college basketball. This kid is amazing; he passes, he rebounds and yes, he scores 23 points a game. He gives the Jackrabbits a chance to top Michigan who struggles away from home. South Dakota State has proven they can beat good teams when they topped New Mexico on the road.

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8: (12) Ole Miss over (5) Wisconsin

Kim Klement-USA Today Sports

When you have Marshall Henderson on your team, you always have a chance to win. Wisconsin is a great defensive team and is going to keep this a low scoring game. If Henderson can score in the 20’s, the Rebels will win the game. Ole Miss proved they could beat good teams by winning the SEC tournament to secure their bid in the tournament.

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7: (11) St. Mary's over (6) Memphis

Brian Spurlock-USA Today Sports

St. Mary’s now gets a chance at upsetting Memphis after winning their opening round game. Matthew Dellavedova can flat out play and he will lead this team to a victory over a Memphis team who I don’t think is that good. The Gaels can score at a high rate and it will be a great game to watch.

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6:(10) Iowa State over (7) Notre Dame

Kevin Jairaj-USA Today Sports

Iowa State is a very good basketball team. They should have beaten Kansas twice, but blew it at the end. Now they get to play a very good Notre Dame team. In order to win, the Cyclones need to shut down Jack Cooley. Tyrus McGee is one of the best perimeter shooters in the league and he can flat out light it up. Will Clyburn and Korie Lucious are both extremely talented. Iowa State might just have too much talent for a slow styled Notre Dame team.

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5: (11) Bucknell over (6) Butler

Matthew O'Haren-USA Today Sports

Mike Muscala makes Bucknell a force to be reckoned with. He averages 19 points and 11.2 rebounds per game. He is a double-double machine and provides a problem for any team. They get to play a very inconsistent Butler team and hopefully they get them on an off night. Bucknell knows how to win and is a hot team at the moment.

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4: (12) Oregon over (5) Oklahoma State

Kyle Terada-USA Today Sports

When Oregon won the Pac 12 championship this weekend, they didn’t expect to get a 12 seed. The Ducks have played great ball all year and deserved a lot better seed then they got. They can’t change their seed though and they will have to deal with Oklahoma State in their first game. The Cowboys are very inexperienced and young and that will play in the Ducks favor. With Dominic Artis in the line-up the Ducks have played great basketball and he will give them a great chance for an upset.

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3: (10) Oklahoma over (7) San Diego State

Brendan Maloney-USA Today Sports

Oklahoma’s poor play towards the end of the season cost them a better seed, but Lon Kruger’s team is still very good. Romero Osby is a talented player and can score in a hurry, while Sam Pledger can score as well. With Osby and Pledger playing well this team is scary and not many people know what to expect from Jamaal Franklin and San Diego State. Expect Oklahoma to win this match-up and be a 10 seed moving on.

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2: (11) Belmont over (6) Arizona

Jim Brown-USA Today Sports

Belmont is the one team no one wanted to be matched up against. Well Arizona was the unlucky team who ended up having to face the nation’s top scoring team. Belmont can score in a hurry and score in bunches. They can shoot lights out from behind the arc and that is one place Arizona does not defend will. Ian Clark is a prime-time player averaging 18 points per game and shooting 46 percent from down-town for the Bruins. It will be a track meet and don’t be shocked if the Bruins knock off the higher seeded Wildcats.

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1: (11) Minnesota over (6) UCLA

USA Today Sports

Minnesota got off to one of the best starts in college basketball this year, but cooled off in the end. The 11th seeded Gophers will take on the 6th seeded and young UCLA Bruins. UCLA is led by Shabazz Muhammad, but will not have their second leading scorer and star guard Jordan Adams. With UCLA’s youth and inexperience to go along with the loss of Adams, Minnesota stands a great chance to win. Austin and Andre Hollins are explosive players for the Gophers and Trevor Mbawke is a force in the paint.