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5. Baylor Loses to Texas

Baylor
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

While it is unlikely that Baylor would be ranked ahead of Alabama anyways, they are the only one-loss team from a Major Conference other than Alabama to not be playing in a Conference Championship game. Since Baylor got blown out and Alabama lost by only six, this is not necessary but would make it a safer bet that Alabama gets in.

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4. Oklahoma State Loses to Oklahoma

Oklahoma State
Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports

A win in the Big 12 Championship Game would likely have Oklahoma State ranked ahead of Alabama. A loss to Oklahoma would make them a two-loss team and fall out any BCS bowl game.

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3. Auburn Loses to Missouri

Auburn
John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

If Auburn wins the SEC Championship Game, they will be ranked ahead of Alabama no matter what. If Missouri wins, Auburn will drop below Alabama and voters may have the Crimson Tide ranked ahead of Missouri based on strength of schedule.

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2. Ohio State Loses to Michigan State

Ohio State
Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio State seems to be this years Notre Dame. They have won three games that they could have lost and probably should have lost. They are not the second best team in the country and have the benefit of playing in the Big 10. A one-loss Big 10 team would not get in ahead of Alabama, so a loss to Michigan State would eliminate both the Buckeyes and Spartans from the title picture.

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1. Florida State Loses to Duke

FSU
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Florida State has been the most dominant team in college football this season. They have only played one game that was not a blowout and have been impressive on both sides of the ball. They also have the benefit of playing in a terrible conference and would likely fall behind Alabama if they lose to Duke. This is the least likely scenario and chances are if Alabama gets in, it would be because the other teams on this list lost and they would play against FSU.

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