Is Andrew Luck Too Good for a Sophomore Slump?

USA Today Sports

The sophomore slump, while it’s a bit of a cliche thing, it also seems to be quite real. Many young NFL quarterbacks struggle in their second season, or at least go through a rough patch early on in their career after a hot start. When it comes to hot starts as a rookie, look no further than Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck.

Coming into the league as the No. 1 overall pick, and widely considered the best pure QB in his class, the expectations were high. But, Luck lived up the hype, and then some.

After leading the Colts to 11 wins and a playoff berth, it’s fair to wonder if he can follow it up in 2013? Teams are going to be ready for him this time around, and a decline in production is a real possibility.

From a statistical standpoint, he’ll have to top 4,374 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. He does however, have a lot of room to improve in completion percentage, as he only completed passes at a 54.1% clip during his rookie campaign. I’m confident he can improve in all of those categories, it’s the 11 wins I’m not sold on.

When it comes down to it, that’s ultimately how Luck’s sophomore season will be judged. I think if he can lead the Colts back to the playoffs, that you’d have to deem it a success. There will be talk of Indianapolis winning the division, but I think it’s too early for that. This is still a young team, and while Luck seems to be quarterback with a great mind for the game, he’s got a hard road ahead this season.

Odds of Luck having a sophomore slump – 13%.

 

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