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Week 11 NFL Picks Against The Spread

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Kevin Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports

The streak could not last forever. You cannot beat Las Vegas for long, and they finally beat me. After nine weeks of barely getting by with weeks over .500, last week I could only muster six wins on the weeks.

When the win-less Jacksonville Jaguars and Tampa Bay Buccaneers both got their first win, you can imagine the kind of week it was. The St Louis Rams took it to the Indianapolis Colts early and often, and provided one of the biggest upsets of the year.

Colin Kaepernick had his worst game as a professional when he threw for 91 yards against the Carolina Panthers. Tony Romo didn't do much better, throwing for 128 yards against the New Orleans Saints. Eli Manning and Terrelle Pryor were just the epitome of bad quarterback play in their game.

This week's slate of games look extremely good. The Kansas City Chiefs take their undefeated record against Manning and his high ankle sprain. The Cleveland Browns look to take control of a division that they seemed they had no shot at. The San Francisco 49ers go to the Superdome to try to turn around after a bad loss to the Panthers. Speaking of the Panthers, they welcome the surging New England Patriots as they try to continue to prove they are for real.

This week is where we try to get back on track, but it won't be easy. Here are the Week 11 picks against the spread.

Last Week: 6-8

2013 Season: 78-66-2

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Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Tennessee Titans

Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports

The Thursday game pits two teams that are coming off of horrible losses to horrible teams. The Colts are looking to put a strangle hold on the division, while the Tennessee Titans are still trying to hold on to their playoff hopes without Jake Locker. Andrew Luck will not let his team lose this one.

Indianapolis 23, Tennessee 13

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Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5)

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Eagles look like a different team with Nick Foles at quarterback. If it will continue is a different story, but against a bad Washington Redskins secondary, he should have another good game. This will be a high scoring contest that will be won on a big LeSean McCoy run.

Washington 33, Philadelphia 37

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Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

Again, the Browns are looking to take advantage of a Bengals team that seems to be in a downward spiral. After a crazy Hail Mary pass that took their game to overtime last week, they were not able to put the Baltimore Ravens away. The Browns have been winning games with the likes of Brian Hoyer and Jason Campbell. Will the losses of Geno Atkins and Leon Hall ruin the Bengals season for good?

Cleveland 23, Bengals 20

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Atlanta Falcons (-1.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

If someone told you that this was going to be the worst game of the week sometime in August, most people wouldn't believe you. Well, here we are, and this game is borderline un-watchable. The Atlanta Falcons may be playing for Jadeveon Clowney at this point. Even so, they may win this game on accident.

Atlanta 21, Tampa Bay 17

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Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans (-7.5)

Jim O'Connor-USA TODAY Sports

This is way too much respect for what amounts to a bad Houston Texans team. This happened last week when the Oakland Raiders played the New York Giants. They won't win, but they won't lose by more than a touchdown.

Oakland 13, Houston 20

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Baltimore Ravens @ Chicago Bears (-3.5)

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

Jay Cutler re-injured himself last week after trying to come back to the field for the Chicago Bears. Now, he will miss more games. Josh McCown did not play badly in his absence, however. This game is hard to call on the surface, as the Ravens held on last week against the Bengals after recovering from a crazy comeback. They will keep it close, but will lose in the end.

Baltimore 13, Chicago 16

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Arizona Cardinals (-7.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Cardinals look like they are due for a let down game. Are the Jaguars the team that is going to deliver? Probably not. The Jaguars win was a complete fluke, so don't expect another one this season.

Arizona 31, Jacksonville 17

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Detroit Lions (-2.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions are playing for something. They have one of the best defensive lines in football. Ndamukong Suh is going to have a field day on Sunday. Ben Roethlisberger is going to be up close and personal with the field.

Detroit 34, Pittsburgh 16

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New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (-1.5)

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills looked very, very, very bad last week. Maybe it was rust by E.J. Manuel, but if a repeat performance comes, then it should be an easy win for the New York Jets. The Bills once again played well in the beginning of the season, but ended up being just another bad team.

New York 20, Buffalo 17

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San Diego Chargers (-1.5) @ Miami Dolphins

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins' franchise is all controversy at this point. Don't be surprised if they lose the rest of the games this season, especially since Ryan Tannehill has zero time to make any passes and the locker room seems to be going in the wrong direction. The San Diego Chargers just went toe-to-toe with the Broncos.

San Diego 37, Miami 23

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San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Are the San Francisco 49ers as good as originally thought? They just lost a game at home to the Panthers, where Kaepernick could not do a thing. Their defense is still great, but can they get a win in New Orleans without Michael Crabtree? It isn't likely. Take the home team here.

San Francisco 21, New Orleans 27

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Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks (-13.5)

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The last time the Seahawks had this kind of spread at home, they almost lost to the Buccaneers. There is no way that they will underestimate a team like they did on that day, especially when going against Christian Ponder.

Minnesota 13, Seattle 41

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Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants (-5.5)

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Once again, the Giants are getting too many points even though they are clearly a bad team. The Green Bay Packers are not the same without Aaron Rodgers. They will still keep this game close with yet another pick six of Eli Manning.

Green Bay 20, New York 21

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (-8.5)

Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

The Chiefs are going against a hobbled Peyton Manning. They are the only undefeated team left in the NFL, and they are still getting 8.5 points. The Chiefs are going to provide the upset of the weekend with Manning trying to play through a bad high ankle sprain. You can see where this is going.

Kansas City 31, Denver 28

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New England Patriots @ Carolina Panthers (-2.5)

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

The Monday Night game is one of the best of the season; it is a refreshing change from what we have been used to on ESPN. Tom Brady is going to really enjoy bringing the Panthers back to size on national television. Cam Newton will have a good game, but Brady will outplay him.

New England 38, Carolina 30