I am fully confident that the Indianapolis Colts offense is better off under Pep Hamilton but am not totally sure that this will translate into increased fantasy value for the Colts’ wide receivers or quarterback in 2013. Switching from Bruce Arians‘ deep-slinging attack to Hamilton’s more measured rhythmic balance should prove better for ball control and Andrew Luck‘s health, but might not light up box scores in the immediate future.
(The following analysis is based on FantasyPros.com aggregate average draft position drawn from major websites. The first number in parenthesis is ADP overall in a non-PPR redraft format; the second is ADP by position. I am not saying these players will be terrible or amazing, just that I see them significantly outperforming or underperforming their fantasy value at the current ADP.)
Underrated: Dwayne Allen (197, 24), TY Hilton (78, 32)
Allen roughly doubled the snap total higher-drafted rookie tight end Coby Fleener last year. Allen’s blocking skills will keep him on the field and post his pass-catching opportunities. Hilton is basically a younger, more dangerous version of free-agent addition Darrius Heyward-Bey. DHB’s huge recently signed contract might capture him the No. 2 WR role but I imagine Hilton will be the one benefiting most from Luck’s laser-rocket arm.
Overrated: Coby Fleener (165, 20), Ahmad Bradshaw (69, 27)
Fleener’s struggled mightily this preseason, dropping a would-be touchdown and another drop with Luck backed up to his own end zone. This coupled with poor awareness on a fumble in the first preseason game. I would consider Allen the TE1 at this point. Bradshaw is nice depth when he’s healthy to sub in for a week, but I wouldn’t feel good at all with him as a starter given his past and current injury situation.