Don’t drink someone else’s cold Powerade on a hot day.
Just don’t.
Stay with me here. You are so thirsty, but you don’t have you’re own drink. You sip, you sip, you sip. It’s delicious, but then you realize something– it’s not going to last. Your buddy snatches the drink, and you are left wanting so much more, but you know you have to wait.
That’s how I feel watching Nerlens Noel thus far in Summer League. I want more.
The Philadelphia 76ers must love waiting for their big men to make debuts, but believe me, this one is worth waiting for. This is a guy who was once considered to be the unanimous number one pick of the 2013 draft, but an ACL injury scared teams off. Not the 76ers, however, as they shipped their All-Star point guard to acquire the Kentucky big man, so they clearly are going to have big plans for him in Philadelphia. And although he has yet to play a single regular season game in the NBA, I’m giddy about his fantasy prospects.
Giddy, I tell you.
It’s only Summer League, but if it’s any indication, Noel is going to be very successful in this league. On Wednesday night, Noel had his best game, recording 14 points, nine rebounds and a beautiful five blocks, as he showcased his best skill as a player. Through four summer contests (his first four games in the NBA), Noel has been very productive, averaging 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and three blocks per game. He’s looked healthy, which is the most important part, but also looks confident, even with his jumper, another positive sign. He’s also been very effective from the free throw line, another positive sign. In four games, he has yet to miss a shot from the charity stripe, just one year after shooting 52.9 percent from the line at Kentucky. He continues to tease fantasy players with his upside, but what should owners expect from the “rookie” in 2014?
City of Fantasy Love
Unless you are new to fantasy hoops, you are well aware of how fantasy friendly the 76ers unit has been lately. The reason?
Pace, of course.
Volume is everything in all fantasy sports, and last year, the Sixers players saw a ton of it. No team in basketball had a higher pace rating than Philly’s 101.6. So they used over 100 offensive possessions per game over the course of the season, which means more shots, more rebounding opportunities, etc. Last year, the 76ers attempted the second-most shot attempts per game (87.2), and because their defense was so atrocious, they were always sprinting up court, looking to get points back in a hurry. Noel, meanwhile, is a great fit for this team. He runs the floor extremely well for a 6’11″, 230-pound big man, and Philadelphia ranked 25th in blocks per game last year (4.0). Noel fits the bill, for sure.
Also, the Sixers don’t really have any ball dominant players on their roster, so Noel should get plenty of offensive touches to make fantasy noise. Michael Carter-Williams, one of just three or four NBA caliber players on the team, ranked just 25th in usage rate from a season ago (25.3). Because of the system, there were far less talented players that made fantasy impacts for the Sixers last year, starting with Henry Sims.
Via CBS Sports scoring, Sims averaged over 21 fantasy points per game in each of the last five weeks of the season. And during the last four weeks, Sims recorded three weeks with 100-plus total fantasy points. That’s more than just serviceable fantasy production– it’s flat out terrific. Noel is a far more talented player, and if Sims can post these numbers, there is no reason he can’t. And remember, Sims isn’t really much of a shot-blocker, so Noel will add that to his arsenal, too. In this system, three blocks per game isn’t out of the question, which would be great for his fantasy value.
Last year, Serge Ibaka, for instance, ranked as a top-10 overall option on the ESPN Player Rater, mainly because of his blocks. His block player rating was a league-high 6.30, and he averaged 2.7 swats per game for the year. Blocks make a huge difference in fantasy circles, as only four players in the league averaged at least two per game last year. Roy Hibbert was the only one that didn’t finish as a top-35 overall fantasy option.
Of course, with Noel, there is a bit of risk here. Coming off an ACL injury, Noel won’t start his first regular season game about 20 months later. It wouldn’t surprise me if the 76ers rested him on back-t0-backs, at least at first, frustrating owners. But he may be the early front-runner for rookie of the year, and if he can stay on the court, he’ll be fun to watch.
Adam Pfeifer is a lead fantasy sports writer for Rant Sports. You can follow him on Twitter @aPfeiferRS.
These five PFs are only worth playing in GPP format on FanDuel, but not non-tournament cash games. Read More
There is a decent schedule of seven NBA games tonight and this is one of the ways that you can build the perfect FanDuel lineup for it. Read More
These five SFs should on be played in GPP formats on FanDuel -- not (non-tournament) cash games. Read More
With a huge slate of 11 NBA games, there are plenty of bargains on FanDuel. These are the top five "bang for your buck" options on Jan. 9. Read More
With a big slate of 11 games, there are numerous ways to build the perfect NBA FanDuel lineup on Jan. 9. Here's one possibility. Read More
These five point guards are only worth playing in GPP format on FanDuel, not cash games. Read More
These five SGs should only be played in GPP format in NBA FanDuel. Read More
Some big names could come up short in the Divisional Round, so these value tight ends are must-starts this weekend. Read More
After getting hit with a storm of 13 games yesterday, it's just a light sprinkle of three games tonight with these top five NBA FanDuel bargains to choose from. Read More
You only have a couple more chances to build the perfect DraftKings lineup for the NFL season. Read More
Here are 10 fantasy basketball players who will break out in the second half of the 2014-15 season. Read More
Come join us in building the Perfect NBA FanDuel Lineup for Jan. 8. Read More