Fantasy Football 2013: 10 Players Getting Drafted Above Value
10 Players Getting Drafted too High
With Fantasy Football 2013 in full force, this is the time of the year where mock drafts are mainly over and owners are settling in and starting to select their real teams. Mock drafts can only take you so far, but when it comes time for the show, there’s nothing that can completely prepare you. The good thing about mock drafts is that it helps you see where people are typically being drafted in different types of leagues. This is known as the Average Draft Position (ADP).
The ADP helps you build certain strategies heading into your ever important draft night. For example, you can look at ADP and see that at least eight of the first 10 picks in your draft will more than likely be running backs. You can also look at who is being undervalued. Take a look at Josh Gordon, who many people think is a sleeper in fantasy this year; he is currently ranked as the No. 38 wide receiver and his ADP in ESPN leagues is 120. This means in a 10-team league, he is usually going towards the end of the 12th round.
ADP puts it in perspective for you so you don’t reach for someone before you have to. It even helps you see which players are going too early in the draft. In this case, we are going to look at standard ESPN leagues in terms of ADP. But this searching the web for ADP sources is always a good idea.
Before your draft, take a look at 10 guys who are getting drafted above value.
10. Denarius Moore (ESPN ADP:119)
This obviously isn’t a high pick, but with the struggles the Raiders will have this year, I don’t see it wise to take Denarius Moore here; especially given the fact that super-sleeper Josh Gordon sits just one pick below him.
9. BenJarvus Green-Ellis (ESPN ADP:82)
BenJarvus Green-Ellis will have a tough time getting consistent touches with the addition of Giovani Bernard to the backfield. Because of this, the Law Firm should be considered more of a handcuff and doesn’t need to be taken this early.
8. Chris Ivory (ESPN ADP:70)
I think Chris Ivory has some talent, but with all of the problems that the Jets will have this year at QB and with the offensive line, you can’t expect much out of him to invest a top-70 pick.
7. Seattle Seahawks Defense (ESPN ADP:67)
I love the Seahawks D and I think they will probably be tops in the league again this year, but there is nothing in this world that you can do to convince me to take a defense in the top 75.
6. Montee Ball (ESPN ADP:53)
Montee Ball was a superb talent in college and he has the skills to be a next level RB. But the top concern right now is protecting Peyton Manning and Ronnie Hillman and even Knowshon Moreno can currently do a better job at that than Ball.
5. Rob Gronkowski (ESPN ADP:50)
My thoughts on tight ends all year has been if you can’t get Jimmy Graham, you should wait. I know Gronk has put up big numbers in the past, but it’s not worth the risk when he might put up similar points to a guy you could get in the end of the draft like Greg Olsen.
4. DeMarco Murray (ESPN ADP:42)
DeMarco Murray burst onto the scene with a 253-yard game in his rookie year. Since then he’s played a total of only 17 games and eclipsed the 100-yard mark only three times. With the injury risk, I am not taking Murray this high.
3. Demaryius Thomas (ESPN ADP:25)
Demaryius Thomas broke out with Peyton Manning as his QB last year, but I still wouldn’t draft him ahead of proven veterans like Andre Johnson, Roddy White, Larry Fitzgerald and even teammate Wes Welker.
2. Julio Jones (ESPN ADP:21)
Again, I am not denying the talent of Julio Jones by any stretch, but I think going No. 21 overall is a reach. If he is my second-round pick, I am not feeling as confident as I would if he was my early-to-mid-third-round pick.
1. Aaron Rodgers (ESPN ADP:7)
I am not denying that Aaron Rodgers is the No. 1 fantasy quarterback. My issue with him at No. 7 is that I feel like you need a running back in the first round, and to put him ahead of C.J. Spiller and LeSean McCoy seems unreasonable to me.