This is the biggest week of the year heading into the Conference Championship Games. Every player needs to end the year on a high note. I usually start the year with 5 stock up and 5 stock down players. Then in October I list 10 stock up and 10 stock down players. This week as a treat I list 15 Stock Up and 15 Stock Down Players
Alfonzo Dennard Cornerback Nebraska Senior Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick Dennard is now beginning to look like a first round pick after how he has played containing Marvin McNutt on Iowa. Dennard had a bad game against Michigan last week. This week Dennard responded strongly.
Kheeston Randall 3-4 Right End Texas Senior Now a 3rd Round Pick Previously a 4th Round Pick Randall responded strongly to end the year after a rocky start. Randall re enters the day 2 draft conversation after slipping from the first to the 4th round. Randall should be a 3rd round pick.
Janoris Jenkins Cornerback Northern Alabama Senior Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Jenkins managed to contain Alshon Jeffery, Julio Jones, and AJ Green, when playing in the SEC. He got kicked out of Florida. Jenkins ejection in a Northern Alabama game was responsible for a Northern Alabama overtime loss and a 1 game suspension the following week which also resulted in a loss.
Donnie Fletcher Cornerback Boston College Senior Now a 3rd Round Pick Previously a 5th Round Pick Donnie Fletcher has played much better at cornerback over the last few weeks. Fletcher moved down to a 5th round pick after being considered a 3rd round pick. Now Fletcher is back in the day 3 discussion.
Lamar Miller Running Back Miami FL Sophomore Redshirt Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Miller had a good game. I moved Miller down to a 3rd round pick. Miller looks like a 2nd round pick again after a strong game. Miller is my 4th best back now behind Trent Richardson, Montee Ball, and Chris Polk.
Mike Martin Nose Tackle Michigan Senior Now a 4th Round Pick Previously a 5th Round Pick Mike Martin has performed extremely promising the last 2 weeks. Martin is making a strong case to move up from a 5th round pick to a 4th round pick.
Montee Ball Running Back Wisconsin Junior Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick I’ve been skeptical to buy into the Montee Ball hype because of his sick offensive line. With center Peter Konz being injured Ball has been playing his best when it counts. Ball makes his debut as a first round prospect and looks like the clear cut #2 back after Trent Richardson.
With rumors about Trent Richardson returning for his senior year, there is a chance that Ball could be the first running back this season. I’m not buying the rumors unless Alabama fails to win the National Title. Richardson is guaranteed to be a top 10 pick if he goes pro.
TJ McDonald Free Safety USC Junior Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick TJ McDonald has been very impressive in 2011. If he declares he could be the top safety drafted. TJ McDonald has the versatility to play free safety or strong safety. 6 foot 3 205 pounds and can bulk up to 225 if necessary. McDonald registered 89 total tackles and 3 picks in 2010. McDonald only has 59 tackles in 2011, but he got suspended for injuring Chris Owusu against Stanford. McDonald is considered by many to be the top safety in the 2012 NFL Draft if he declares.
Winston Guy Jr. Strong Safety Kentucky Senior Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Winston Guy Jr. had a mind boggling game for Kentucky. Winston Guy Jr’s performance against Tennessee was enough to convince scouts that he is a 2nd round talent at this point.
Bobby Rainey Running Back Western Kentucky Senior Redshirt Now a 3rd Round Pick Previously a 5th Round Pick Bobby Rainey ran wild on the Troy Trojans and their top notch run defense led by future first round pick Jonathan Massaquoi.
Rainey recorded 43 carries for 227 rushing yards, and 3 rushing touchdowns. Rainey has a chance to be a day 2 pick and looks like my top running back outside the running backs.
Jayron Hosley Cornerback Virginia Tech Junior Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick Jayron Hosley played a huge role in Virginia Tech’s 38 to 0 shutout win over Virginia. Hosley moves up as my final cornerback projected to go in the first round.
Chase Thomas 3-4 Right Outside Linebacker Stanford Junior Redshirt Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick Chase Thomas has really stepped up for Stanford in 2011 after Shayne Skov’s injury. Thomas can play on the right or the left side and looks like a first round pick. Thomas showed up to play against Notre Dame.
Whitney Mercilus 3-4 Right Outside Linebacker Illinois Junior Redshirt Now a 1st Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick Mercilus was an amazing run stuffer last season. This year he leads the nation in sacks.
Mercilus has gone up against left tackles and right tackles in the 4-3 at defensive end. Mercilus has played right end and left end.
Mercilus is better suited to play a 3-4 with his size. He has played in the 3-4 though.
At this point the speculation states that Mercilus would rather declare and go pro than return for his senior year.
Delano Howell Free Safety Stanford Senior Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Howell managed to do an awesome job covering Notre Dame Tyler Eifert who I had as my top graded tight end until this week. Howell is a two way safety that can be used as a strong safety or a free safety.
Ryan Tannehill Quarterback Texas A&M Senior Redshirt Now a 4th Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick Tannehill absolutely struggled against Texas. Tannehill threw 2 touchdowns and 3 picks against a Texas secondary that lost 3 cornerbacks to the 2011 NFL Draft. Tannehill also struggled against Oklahoma. I’m moving Tannehill down to a day 3 pick projected to go in the 4th round. A strong bowl game and a strong senior bowl can convince scouts that Tannehill is worthy of re entering the 2nd round discussion.
Cyrus Gray Running Back Texas A&M Senior Senior Now a 4th Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Cyrus Gray looks like a day 3 pick based on how he has performed this season.
Marvin McNutt Wide Receiver Iowa Senior Redshirt Now a 4th Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick McNutt looked simply awful against Alfonzo Dennard. I’m dropping McNutt to a day 3 pick.
Brandon Boykin Cornerback Georgia Senior Now a 6th Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Boykin has struggled in coverage. Boykin is excellent on special teams.
Omar Bolden Cornerback Arizona State Senior Now a 5th Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Omar Bolden has durability issues which drop him to the 5th round. Bolden is a boundary corner with pro bowl ability when he can stay healthy. Durability issues make him a boundary corner playing a #2 corner role.
Ryan Steed Cornerback Furman Senior Now a 4th Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick At one point Furman’s Ryan Steed and Montana’s Trumaine Johnson looked like potential small school corners who could rival Janoris Jenkins. Both corners have struggled though and look like 4th round picks.
Steed had a lot of difficulty stopping Florida’s speedy receivers. Steed can stop tall receivers like Alshon Jeffery and Brian Quick. Yet, he struggles to cover speedy receivers.
Trumaine Johnson Cornerback Montana Senior Now a 4th Round Pick Previously a 3rd Round Pick Trumaine Johnson got tasered a while ago for an off the field incident. I kept him in the top 100 because of his size at 6 foot 2 210 pounds. I still like Ryan Steed better than Johnson so Johnson moves down a round as well.
Michael Brewster Center Ohio State Senior Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 1st Round Pick Brewster struggled against Michigan plus some people have Peter Konz graded higher than Brewster.
Peter Konz Center Wisconsin Junior Redshirt Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 1st Round Pick Konz suffered an injury against Minnesota. Konz is moving out of my first round for now and missed the Penn State game.
Landry Jones Quarterback Oklahoma Junior Redshirt Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 1st Round Pick Landry Jones has had 2 consecutive weeks of 0 touchdowns and at least 1 interception against defenses like Baylor and Iowa State. I compared Jones to Ryan Leaf in terms of intangibles. Despite having Leaf’s intangibles Jones had elite physical tools in the mold of Roger Staubach which kept him in the first round discussion. I am moving Landry Jones out of the first round for this week. Jones can re-earn his first round status with a signature win at Oklahoma State to wrap up the season.
For now Jones is on the outside of my first round at this point. Most people will wait until Jones has another slip up against Oklahoma State before moving him out of the first. I’m going to stay one step ahead of the consensus fan by moving Jones out of the first round this week.
Devon Still Defensive Tackle Penn State Senior Redshirt Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 1st Round Pick Devon Still got schooled by Montee Ball and Wisconsin center Peter Konz was not even starting. Still looks like a 2nd round pick at this point.
Chase Minnifield Cornerback Virginia Senior Redshirt Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 1st Round Pick Chase Minnfield looked pretty even against Jarrett Boykin. Minnifield looks like a 2nd round talent after the way he struggled on some plays against Boykin. Minnfield limited Boykin to 4 receptions for 44 yards. Boykin did cash in on the end zone and I believe Hosley could end up getting drafted ahead of Minnifield now.
LaMichael James Running Back Oregon Junior Redshirt Now a 3rd Round Pick Previously a 2nd Round Pick James got injured against Oregon State. James lack of size raises durability concerns.
Tyler Eifert Tight End Notre Dame Junior Now a 2nd Round Pick Previously a 1st Round Pick Eifert has struggled the last 2 weeks. Luke Kuechly played excellent on coverage disabling Eifert. Delano Howell has shut down Eifert this week. Eifert dropped 2 passes against Stanford and one pass Eifert dropped resulted in a pick.
Clemson’s Dwayne Allen was originally graded out as my top tight end. I liked what I saw from Eifert in the middle of the season which prompted me to put him ahead of Allen. Allen is now my #1 tight end for the 2012 NFL Draft after Eifert’s poor performances the last 2 weeks.
Cam Johnson Right End Virginia Senior Now a 6th Round Pick Previously a 4th Round Pick Cam Johnson really struggled pass rushing against Logan Thomas and could not stop David Wilson. I labeled Johnson an overrated 4th rounder at the beginning of the year. Johnson performed like a 6th rounder in a critical situation as Virginia got shut out 38 to 0.